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UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
3 Oct 2020
Women's Bantamweight
VS
42%
Holm
58%
Aldana
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Holly
Holly Holm
"The Preacher's Daughter"
157
5'8"69" reachSouthpaw44 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 37
Irene
Irene Aldana
158
Well-Rounded38 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'9"
CFR 51
★ Official Result
Holly HolmwinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Irene Aldana · UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Aldana
Actual result
Holm wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Holm at 42% vs Aldana at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Holm's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
HolmAldana
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Holm
Aldana
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
69"+
Reach
68"
44
Age
+38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Holm
Aldana
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.1
50.5
46.5
Performance Avg
46.5
42
Quality of Victory
39
30
Momentum Score
81
Holm
Aldana
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
4.9
/ 10
3.4
Style: Pressure
5.2
7.1
Style: Volume
5.1
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
37
Head
13
11
Body
3
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
47Distance18
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Holm
Aldana
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
2.2
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.5
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.3
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Holm
Aldana
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
88
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
16/22 fights
Chin rating based on
14/23 fights
Holm
Aldana
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
81
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
Holm
Aldana
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Holm
Aldana
Striking3.6 / 4.9Volume7.1 / 5.1Grappling1.8 / 2.2Wrestling1.3 / 1.5Submission0.0 / 1.3Pressure3.4 / 5.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
3.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
Holm
Strike Zones
Aldana
Holm
Attacking
37HEAD11BODY0LEGS48 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD3BODY2LEGS18 absorbed
Aldana
Attacking
13HEAD3BODY2LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
37HEAD11BODY0LEGS48 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Holm targets the head (77% of attacks) — Aldana absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Aldana targets the head (72% of attacks) — Holm absorbs 72% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Holm
RND
Aldana
0/0R00/0

Holm · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Kayla Harrison
Submission
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
Upcoming
Mayra Bueno Silva
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
Yana Santos
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03
L · Dec · R5
Ketlen Vieira
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · 2022-05
W · Dec · R5
Irene Aldana
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · 2020-10

Aldana · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Norma Dumont
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Karol Rosa
Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
L · Dec · R5
Amanda Nunes
Decision
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06
W · KO · R3
Macy Chiasson
KO/TKO
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
W · KO · R1
Yana Santos
KO/TKO
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07

News & Media

Holly Holm · Irene Aldana
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