UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
3 Oct 2020
Women's Bantamweight
VS
42%
Holm
58%
Aldana
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Holly
Holly Holm
"The Preacher's Daughter"
15 – 7
5'8"69" reachSouthpaw44 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 37
Irene
Irene Aldana
15 – 8
Well-Rounded38 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'9"
CFR 51

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Aldana

This is a genuine toss-up — Holm at 42% vs Aldana at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Aldana has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Holm's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Holm
Aldana
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
69"+
Reach
68"
44
Age
+38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Holm
Aldana
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.1
50.5
46.5
Performance Avg
46.5
42
Quality of Victory
39
30
Momentum Score
81
Holm
Aldana
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
2.1
42%
Strike Accuracy
45%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.9
2 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
37
Head
13
11
Body
3
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
47Distance18
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Holm
Aldana
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.2
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Holm
Aldana
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
88
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/22 fights
Chin rating based on
14/23 fights
Holm
Aldana
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
81
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
Holm
Aldana
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Holm
Aldana
Striking3.6 / 4.9Volume7.1 / 5.1Grappling1.8 / 2.2Wrestling1.3 / 1.5Submission0.0 / 1.3Pressure3.4 / 5.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
3.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
Holm
Strike Zones
Aldana
Holm
Attacking
37HEAD11BODY0LEGS48 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD3BODY2LEGS18 absorbed
Aldana
Attacking
13HEAD3BODY2LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
37HEAD11BODY0LEGS48 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Holm targets the head (77% of attacks) — Aldana absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Aldana targets the head (72% of attacks) — Holm absorbs 72% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Holm
RND
Aldana
0/0R00/0

Holm · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.1W4.5W5.1W4.9L6.9L6.7L5.2W5.5L4.5W2.7L5.1W5.3W5.9L4.6W4.9L2015-022016-072018-062022-052024-04
WinLossTrend

Aldana · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.5L5.8L4.5W4.5W5.5W6.1L4.5W5.4W5.6L5.1W6.8W6.7L5.2W6.0L2016-122019-052020-102023-122024-09
WinLossTrend

Holm · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Kayla HarrisonRating 4.9
Submission
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
Upcoming
Mayra Bueno Silva
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
Yana SantosRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03
L · Dec · R5
Ketlen VieiraRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · 2022-05
W · Dec · R5
Irene AldanaRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · 2020-10

Aldana · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Norma DumontRating 6
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Karol RosaRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
L · Dec · R5
Amanda NunesRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06
W · KO · R3
Macy ChiassonRating 6.8
KO/TKO
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
W · KO · R1
Yana SantosRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07

News & Media

Holly Holm · Irene Aldana
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