UFC 61: Bitter Rivals
Las Vegas, USA
8 Jul 2006
Welterweight
VS
44%
Burkman
56%
Neer
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JB
Joshua Burkman
"The People's Warrior"
2816
5'10"72" reachOrthodox46 yrs5-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 14
JN
Josh Neer
"The Dentist"
3616
Well-Rounded3-fight slide43 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'11"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Neer

This is a genuine toss-up — Burkman at 44% vs Neer at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Neer has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Burkman's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Neer has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Burkman
Neer
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
72"
Reach
72"
46
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Burkman
Neer
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.3
18.1
34.7
Performance Avg
39.5
36
Quality of Victory
39
80
Momentum Score
100
Burkman
Neer
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.3
43%
Strike Accuracy
50%
2.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
5
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance3
1Clinch0
4Ground2
Burkman
Neer
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.8
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Burkman
Neer
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
32
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
5
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
19/44 fights
Chin rating based on
15/52 fights
Burkman
Neer
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
100
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · R2
Burkman
Neer
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
3
4
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Burkman
Neer
Striking2.3 / 0.8Volume6.0 / 3.5Grappling2.9 / 4.8Wrestling2.0 / 3.4Submission1.7 / 5.0Pressure3.3 / 4.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.8
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.4
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
Burkman
Strike Zones
Neer
Burkman
Attacking
6HEAD2BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Neer
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD2BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Burkman targets the head (75% of attacks) — Neer absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Neer targets the head (100% of attacks) — Burkman absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Burkman
RND
Neer
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Burkman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0105.0W5.0W2.8L4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L2.8L5.5L4.0L4.0L4.5W5.5L5.5L1.5L2.7L1.5L2005-112007-052015-052017-032018-02
WinLossTrend

Neer · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0101.5L5.0W4.5W5.5L4.0L4.5W5.5L5.2W5.5L5.5L4.2W5.0W1.5L1.5L5.7L2005-082006-082009-082012-062013-02
WinLossTrend

Burkman · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Alex MoronoRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02
L · KO · R1
Drew DoberRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · 2017-07
L · Sub · R1
Michel PrazeresRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Zak OttowRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
L · Dec · R3
Paul FelderRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05

Neer · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
L · Sub · R1
Justin EdwardsRating 1.5
Submission
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
L · KO · R1
Mike PyleRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06
W · Sub · R1
Duane LudwigRating 5
Submission
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
W · R2
Keith WisniewskiRating 4.2
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10

News & Media

Joshua Burkman · Josh Neer
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