METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 61: Bitter Rivals
Las Vegas, USA
8 Jul 2006
Welterweight
VS
44%
Burkman
56%
Neer
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JB
CFR 14
★ Official Result
Joshua BurkmanwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Josh Neer · UFC 61: Bitter Rivals
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Neer
→
Actual result
Burkman wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Burkman at 44% vs Neer at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Burkman's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Neer has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BurkmanNeer
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Burkman
Neer
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
72"
Reach
72"
46
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Burkman
Neer
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.3
18.1
34.7
Performance Avg
39.5
36
Quality of Victory
39
80
Momentum Score
100
Burkman
Neer
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
3.3
Style: Pressure
4.7
6.0
Style: Volume
3.5
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
5
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance3
1Clinch0
4Ground2
Burkman
Neer
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
4.8
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.4
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
1
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Burkman
Neer
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
32
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
5
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/44 fights
Chin rating based on
15/52 fights
Burkman
Neer
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
100
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · R2
Burkman
Neer
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
3
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Burkman
Neer
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.8
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.4
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
BurkmanNeer
Strike Zones
Burkman
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedNeer
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Burkman targets the head (75% of attacks) — Neer absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Neer targets the head (100% of attacks) — Burkman absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Burkman
RND
Neer
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Burkman · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Alex MoronoSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02
L · KO · R1
Drew DoberKO/TKO
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · 2017-07
L · Sub · R1
Michel PrazeresSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Zak OttowDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
L · Dec · R3
Paul FelderDecision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
Neer · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Court McGeeDecision
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
L · Sub · R1
Justin EdwardsSubmission
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
L · KO · R1
Mike PyleKO/TKO
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06
W · Sub · R1
Duane LudwigSubmission
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
W · R2
Keith WisniewskiUFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10