METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall
London, United Kingdom
19 Mar 2022
Lightweight
VS
81%
Pimblett
19%
Vargas
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:49
★ Official Result
Paddy PimblettwinsSubmissionR1 · 3:49
def. Kazula Vargas · UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pimblett
→
Actual result
Pimblett wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Pimblett is a strong favourite at 81% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 54 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pimblett has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PimblettVargas
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pimblett
Vargas
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
73"+
Reach
71"
31+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Pimblett
Vargas
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
70.2
16.3
64.2
Performance Avg
25.0
48
Quality of Victory
25
85
Momentum Score
33
Pimblett
Vargas
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
7.9
Style: Pressure
0.8
3.8
Style: Volume
8.5
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
5
0
Body
2
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch2
1Ground3
Pimblett
Vargas
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.6
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
3.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pimblett
Vargas
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
84
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/27 fights
Chin rating based on
4/17 fights
Pimblett
Vargas
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
33
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · R1
L · Dec · R3
Pimblett
Vargas
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pimblett
Vargas
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
PimblettVargas
Strike Zones
Pimblett
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedVargas
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pimblett targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Vargas absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Vargas targets the head (71% of attacks) — Pimblett absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pimblett
RND
Vargas
0/0R00/0
Pimblett · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Benoit Saint DenisSubmission
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Justin GaethjeDecision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R3
Michael ChandlerKO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
King GreenSubmission
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Tony FergusonDecision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
Vargas · Last 4
L · Sub · R1
Paddy PimblettSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall · 2022-03
W · Dec · R3
RongzhuDecision
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · R1
Brok WeaverUFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Alex Da SilvaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · 2019-08