UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic
Phoenix, USA
13 Dec 2014
Heavyweight
VS
47%
Overeem
53%
Struve
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:13
AO
Alistair Overeem
"The Demolition Man"
47 – 19
6'4"80" reachOrthodox46 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 18
SS
Stefan Struve
"Skyscraper"
33 – 13
Pressure Fighter2-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox84" reach6'11"
CFR 21

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Struve

This is a genuine toss-up — Overeem at 47% vs Struve at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Struve throws more volume but Overeem connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Overeem's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Struve has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Overeem
Struve
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
+6'11"
80"
Reach
+84"
46
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Overeem
Struve
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.1
20.6
55.0
Performance Avg
51.7
52
Quality of Victory
50
56
Momentum Score
98
Overeem
Struve
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.8
73%
Strike Accuracy
52%
8.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.9
9 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
0
5
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance2
3Clinch0
14Ground0
Overeem
Struve
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
0.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.1
0.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Overeem
Struve
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
8
KO/TKO Losses
8
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/66 fights
Chin rating based on
24/46 fights
Overeem
Struve
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
98
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Overeem
Struve
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
85%
9
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
6
3
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Overeem
Struve
Striking8.7 / 4.9Volume3.2 / 2.3Grappling0.6 / 4.1Wrestling0.4 / 2.8Submission0.0 / 4.6Pressure7.0 / 7.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
0.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.1
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.6
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.3
Overeem
Strike Zones
Struve
Overeem
Attacking
12HEAD5BODY0LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD2BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Struve
Attacking
0HEAD2BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD5BODY0LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Overeem targets the head (71% of attacks) — Struve absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Struve targets the body (100% of attacks) — Overeem absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Overeem
RND
Struve
0/0R00/0

Overeem · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.0W4.0L1.5L4.5W1.5L5.0W4.5W5.2W5.8W2.6L5.5W4.5W1.9L4.9L6.2W5.0W5.1L5.1W5.7W3.4L2011-122014-122017-032019-042021-02
WinLossTrend

Struve · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0101.5L5.2W5.0W4.5W1.5L5.2W5.0W1.5L5.2W5.2W5.0W6.2W4.0L1.5L4.5W5.5L5.0W5.2W4.0L6.2L5.9L5.9W2.8L1.9L2009-022010-122013-032017-092020-10
WinLossTrend

Overeem · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkovRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
W · KO · R5
Augusto SakaiRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · 2020-09
W · KO · R2
Walt HarrisRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
L · KO · R5
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
W · KO · R1
Aleksei OleinikRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04

Struve · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Tai TuivasaRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
L · KO · R2
Ben RothwellRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
W · Sub · R2
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 5.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03

News & Media

Alistair Overeem · Stefan Struve
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