METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin
Vancouver, Canada
12 Jun 2010
Welterweight
VS
44%
Condit
56%
MacDonald
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:53
★ Official Result
Carlos ConditwinsKO/TKOR3 · 4:53
def. Rory MacDonald · UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
MacDonald
→
Actual result
Condit wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Condit at 44% vs MacDonald at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Condit's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
MacDonald has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ConditMacDonald
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Condit
MacDonald
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
75"
Reach
+76"
42
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Condit
MacDonald
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.2
18.1
47.8
Performance Avg
51.3
48
Quality of Victory
39
20
Momentum Score
61
Condit
MacDonald
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.4
/ 10
4.7
/ 10
4.5
Style: Pressure
5.2
4.5
Style: Volume
5.8
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
29
Head
5
3
Body
0
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance5
4Clinch0
28Ground0
Condit
MacDonald
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
/ 10
2.2
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Condit
MacDonald
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
52
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R4.0 stoppage
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/46 fights
Chin rating based on
13/23 fights
Condit
MacDonald
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
61
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R5
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Condit
MacDonald
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
44%
4
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Condit
MacDonald
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.7
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.8
ConditMacDonald
Strike Zones
Condit
Attacking
35 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedMacDonald
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
35 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Condit targets the head (83% of attacks) — MacDonald absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯MacDonald targets the head (100% of attacks) — Condit absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Condit
RND
MacDonald
0/0R00/0
Condit · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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