UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy
Ottawa, Canada
4 May 2019
Welterweight
VS
75%
Taleb
25%
Prepolec
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Taleb
Taleb is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Taleb has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 34 points.
Taleb has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Taleb's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Prepolec has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Taleb
Prepolec
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
74"+
Reach
70"
44
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Taleb
Prepolec
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.8
5.0
43.9
Performance Avg
0.0
34
Quality of Victory
0
52
Momentum Score
0
Taleb
Prepolec
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.6
54%
Strike Accuracy
33%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
5
11
Body
4
10
Leg
0
RangeRange
33Distance9
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Taleb
Prepolec
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Taleb
Prepolec
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
62
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/22 fights
Chin rating based on
4/28 fights
Taleb
Prepolec
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
0
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Taleb
Prepolec
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Taleb
Prepolec
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
TalebPrepolec
Strike Zones
Taleb
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedPrepolec
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Taleb targets the head (38% of attacks) — Prepolec absorbs 38% of strikes there
🎯Prepolec targets the head (56% of attacks) — Taleb absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Taleb
RND
Prepolec
0/0R00/0
Taleb · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Prepolec · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Taleb · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Muslim SalikhovRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
W · Dec · R3
Kyle PrepolecRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
L · KO · R2
Sean StricklandRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
L · Sub · R1
Claudio SilvaRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · 2018-05
W · KO · R1
Danny RobertsRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12
Prepolec · Last 4
L · KO · R3
Drew DoberRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Sub · R2
Benoit Saint DenisRating 4.5Submission
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Austin HubbardRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09
L · Dec · R3
Nordine TalebRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05