UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
New York City, USA
16 Nov 2024
Welterweight
VS
41%
Gall
59%
Brahimaj
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:55
Mickey
Mickey Gall
7 – 7
6'2"74" reachSwitch34 yrs4-fight slideSubmission Hunter
CFR 45
Ramiz
Ramiz Brahimaj
13 – 6
Submission Hunter33 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'10"
CFR 65

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Brahimaj

This is a genuine toss-up — Gall at 41% vs Brahimaj at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Gall throws more volume but Brahimaj connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Gall's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Gall
Brahimaj
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'10"
74"+
Reach
72"
34
Age
+33
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Gall
Brahimaj
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.1
65.2
47.5
Performance Avg
54.8
48
Quality of Victory
54
56
Momentum Score
85
Gall
Brahimaj
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
0.9
51%
Strike Accuracy
59%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.1
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
27
3
Body
1
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
26Distance22
2Clinch6
0Ground3
Gall
Brahimaj
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
7.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.4
5.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Gall
Brahimaj
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
72
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/14 fights
Chin rating based on
9/19 fights
Gall
Brahimaj
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
85
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Gall
Brahimaj
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
5
Submission Wins
4
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Gall
Brahimaj
Striking0.9 / 3.1Volume2.3 / 1.1Grappling7.1 / 6.4Wrestling5.0 / 4.5Submission8.3 / 8.0Pressure7.2 / 8.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.1
7.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.4
5.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.5
8.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
8.0
7.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.7
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.1
Gall
Strike Zones
Brahimaj
Gall
Attacking
25HEAD3BODY0LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
27HEAD1BODY3LEGS31 absorbed
Brahimaj
Attacking
27HEAD1BODY3LEGS31 landed
Absorbing
25HEAD3BODY0LEGS28 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Gall targets the head (89% of attacks) — Brahimaj absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Brahimaj targets the head (87% of attacks) — Gall absorbs 87% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Gall
RND
Brahimaj
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Gall · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.0W5.0W5.2W6.4L5.0W2.8L4.5W5.5L5.0W5.5L3.3L5.5L3.0L2016-022018-082021-072024-11
WinLossTrend

Brahimaj · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0104.6L5.0W5.7L5.0W5.9L5.5W6.0W6.5W6.5L2020-112022-022025-052026-02
WinLossTrend

Gall · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Ramiz BrahimajRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Bassil HafezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
L · KO · R1
Mike MalottRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
W · Sub · R1
Jordan WilliamsRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07

Brahimaj · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Punahele SorianoRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · Sub · R2
Austin VanderfordRating 6.5
Submission
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Sub · R1
Billy Ray GoffRating 6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
W · KO · R1
Mickey GallRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Themba GorimboRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05

News & Media

Mickey Gall · Ramiz Brahimaj
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