UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2
Sydney, Australia
31 Jan 2026
Middleweight
VS
57%
Malkoun
43%
Finney
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Malkoun
This is a genuine toss-up — Malkoun at 57% vs Finney at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Malkoun has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Malkoun
Finney
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
73"
Reach
+75"
30
Age
+27
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Malkoun
Finney
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.2
40.5
44.7
Performance Avg
35.0
30
Quality of Victory
25
98
Momentum Score
55
Malkoun
Finney
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.4
61%
Strike Accuracy
36%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
11
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
18Distance11
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Malkoun
Finney
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Malkoun
Finney
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/13 fights
Chin rating based on
2/12 fights
Malkoun
Finney
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
55
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Malkoun
Finney
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
17%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Malkoun
Finney
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
8.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
MalkounFinney
Strike Zones
Malkoun
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedFinney
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Malkoun targets the head (100% of attacks) — Finney absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Finney targets the head (92% of attacks) — Malkoun absorbs 92% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Malkoun
RND
Finney
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Malkoun · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Finney · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Malkoun · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Gerald MeerschaertRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Torrez FinneyRating 4.8Decision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · KO · R2
Andre PetroskiRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · R1
Cody BrundageRating 4.5UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
W · Dec · R3
Nick MaximovRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10
Finney · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Jacob MalkounRating 6.5Decision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Robert ValentinRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04

