METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melendez
San Jose, USA
20 Apr 2013
Welterweight
VS
68%
Brown
32%
Mein
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:00
★ Official Result
Matt BrownwinsKO/TKOR2 · 1:00
def. Jordan Mein · UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melendez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Brown
→
Actual result
Brown wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Brown holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Mein has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Brown has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Brown has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Brown's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Mein has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BrownMein
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Brown
Mein
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
75"+
Reach
73"
45
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Brown
Mein
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.5
19.6
54.0
Performance Avg
45.6
52
Quality of Victory
39
78
Momentum Score
100
Brown
Mein
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
0.8
60%
Strike Accuracy
45%
8.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.1
13 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
0
5
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance0
3Clinch0
11Ground0
Brown
Mein
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Brown
Mein
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
52
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/45 fights
Chin rating based on
9/43 fights
Brown
Mein
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
100
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Brown
Mein
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
40%
13
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brown
Mein
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
1.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
2.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.9
BrownMein
Strike Zones
Brown
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedMein
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brown targets the head (72% of attacks) — Mein absorbs 72% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brown
RND
Mein
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Brown · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Mein · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Brown · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Court McGeeRating 5.2KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Bryan BarberenaRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03
W · KO · R2
Dhiego LimaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Carlos ConditRating 5.5Decision
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L · KO · R2
Miguel BaezaRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
Mein · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Erick SilvaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12
L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6Decision
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker · 2017-07
L · Dec · R3
Emil MeekRating 5.5Decision
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · 2016-12
L · KO · R2
Thiago AlvesRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz · 2015-01