UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2
Sacramento, USA
14 Dec 2013
Bantamweight
VS
49%
Faber
51%
McDonald
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:22
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: McDonald
This is a genuine toss-up — Faber at 49% vs McDonald at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: McDonald throws more volume but Faber connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Faber's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
McDonald has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Faber
McDonald
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'9"
67"
Reach
+70"
47
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Faber
McDonald
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.8
22.0
49.4
Performance Avg
53.6
42
Quality of Victory
45
100
Momentum Score
100
Faber
McDonald
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.1
46%
Strike Accuracy
40%
2.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
5
3
Body
0
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
15Distance6
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Faber
McDonald
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
3.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Faber
McDonald
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/46 fights
Chin rating based on
9/21 fights
Faber
McDonald
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R4
Faber
McDonald
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
6
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Faber
McDonald
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.7
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
5.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
FaberMcDonald
Strike Zones
Faber
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedMcDonald
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Faber targets the head (63% of attacks) — McDonald absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯McDonald targets the head (83% of attacks) — Faber absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Faber
RND
McDonald
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Faber · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
McDonald · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Faber · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Petr YanRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
W · KO · R1
Ricky SimonRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
W · Dec · R3
Brad PickettRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Jimmie RiveraRating 5.5Decision
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem · 2016-09
L · Dec · R5
Dominick CruzRating 5.5Decision
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06
McDonald · Last 5
L · KO · R1
John LinekerRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker · 2016-07
W · Sub · R2
Masanori KaneharaRating 5.2Submission
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
L · Sub · R2
Urijah FaberRating 2.8Submission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2 · 2013-12
W · Sub · R2
Brad PickettRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonnen · 2013-08
L · Sub · R4
Renan BaraoRating 3.4Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02