UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jul 2013
Lightweight
VS
86%
Barboza
14%
Oliveira
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:44
Edson
Edson Barboza
"Junior"
24 – 14
5'11"75" reachOrthodox40 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 45
RO
Rafaello Oliveira
"Tractor"
17 – 8
Well-Rounded2-fight slide44 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'8"
CFR 7

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Barboza

Barboza is a strong favourite at 86% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Barboza has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.

Barboza has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Barboza's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Oliveira has a chin rating of 18 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Barboza
Oliveira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'8"
75"+
Reach
71"
40+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Barboza
Oliveira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.9
7.2
46.3
Performance Avg
25.0
40
Quality of Victory
25
60
Momentum Score
15
Barboza
Oliveira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.7
46%
Strike Accuracy
30%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
9 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
3
2
Body
1
8
Leg
0
RangeRange
12Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Barboza
Oliveira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Barboza
Oliveira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
18
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/38 fights
Chin rating based on
8/25 fights
Barboza
Oliveira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
15
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
Barboza
Oliveira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
9
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Barboza
Oliveira
Striking6.1 / 0.5Volume5.1 / 8.5Grappling1.2 / 2.4Wrestling0.8 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.2 / 0.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
Barboza
Strike Zones
Oliveira
Barboza
Attacking
2HEAD2BODY8LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Oliveira
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD2BODY8LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Barboza targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Oliveira targets the head (75% of attacks) — Barboza absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Barboza
RND
Oliveira
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Barboza · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5W4.5W4.5W5.5W1.5L5.0W5.2W4.5W1.5L5.0W5.2W5.6L4.5W3.3L4.5W4.5W6.2W5.5L5.5L6.4W3.1L5.5L6.2L4.6W5.5W3.7L6.5L6.2W5.3W7.0L6.5L2.7L2010-112014-042017-032021-052025-12
WinLossTrend

Oliveira · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0105.5L4.5W5.5L2.8L2.8L4.5W3.2L1.5L2009-092010-032011-102013-072014-02
WinLossTrend

Barboza · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Jalin TurnerRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Drakkar KloseRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Dec · R5
Lerone MurphyRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
W · Dec · R5
Sodiq YusuffRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
W · KO · R1
Billy QuarantilloRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04

Oliveira · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Erik KochRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann · 2014-02
L · KO · R2
Edson BarbozaRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07
W · Dec · R3
Yoislandy IzquierdoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
L · KO · R2
Yves EdwardsRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10
L · Sub · R2
Gleison TibauRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · 2011-05

News & Media

Edson Barboza · Rafaello Oliveira
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