METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le
Macau, China
23 Aug 2014
Lightweight
VS
67%
Lipeng
33%
O'Reilly
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Zhang LipengwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Brendan O'Reilly · UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lipeng
→
Actual result
Lipeng wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Lipeng holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but O'Reilly has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lipeng has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 38 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LipengO'Reilly
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lipeng
O'Reilly
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'7"
71"+
Reach
69"
36+
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Lipeng
O'Reilly
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.7
9.3
57.5
Performance Avg
25.0
63
Quality of Victory
25
39
Momentum Score
22
Lipeng
O'Reilly
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
1.5
Style: Pressure
0.8
9.0
Style: Volume
8.5
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
4
1
Body
2
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance6
1Clinch2
2Ground0
Lipeng
O'Reilly
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lipeng
O'Reilly
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/32 fights
Chin rating based on
4/9 fights
Lipeng
O'Reilly
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
22
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Lipeng
O'Reilly
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lipeng
O'Reilly
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
LipengO'Reilly
Strike Zones
Lipeng
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedO'Reilly
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lipeng targets the head (50% of attacks) — O'Reilly absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯O'Reilly targets the head (50% of attacks) — Lipeng absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lipeng
RND
O'Reilly
0/0R00/0
Lipeng · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
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Brendan O'ReillyDecision
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W · Dec · R3
Sai WangDecision
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O'Reilly · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R3
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UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · 2015-05
L · Dec · R3
Zhang LipengDecision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le · 2014-08