UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le
Macau, China
23 Aug 2014
Lightweight
VS
67%
Lipeng
33%
O'Reilly
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
ZL
Zhang Lipeng
"The Warrior"
23 – 9
5'11"71" reachSouthpaw36 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 19
BO
Brendan O'Reilly
"Badger"
6 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'7"
CFR 9

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lipeng

Lipeng holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but O'Reilly has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Lipeng has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 38 points.

O'Reilly has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Lipeng
O'Reilly
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'7"
71"+
Reach
69"
36+
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Lipeng
O'Reilly
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.7
9.3
57.5
Performance Avg
25.0
63
Quality of Victory
25
39
Momentum Score
22
Lipeng
O'Reilly
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.4
0.9
48%
Strike Accuracy
60%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
4
1
Body
2
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance6
1Clinch2
2Ground0
Lipeng
O'Reilly
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lipeng
O'Reilly
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/32 fights
Chin rating based on
4/9 fights
Lipeng
O'Reilly
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
22
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Lipeng
O'Reilly
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lipeng
O'Reilly
Striking1.0 / 0.5Volume9.0 / 8.5Grappling2.4 / 2.4Wrestling1.7 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.5 / 0.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
Lipeng
Strike Zones
O'Reilly
Lipeng
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY2LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD2BODY2LEGS8 absorbed
O'Reilly
Attacking
4HEAD2BODY2LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY2LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lipeng targets the head (50% of attacks) — O'Reilly absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯O'Reilly targets the head (50% of attacks) — Lipeng absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lipeng
RND
O'Reilly
0/0R00/0

Lipeng · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0104.5W4.5W5.5L5.5L2014-032014-082015-012015-05
WinLossTrend

O'Reilly · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.5L4.5W1.5L5.5L2014-082015-052016-032016-12
WinLossTrend

Lipeng · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Kajan JohnsonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber · 2015-05
L · Dec · R3
Chris WadeRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Brendan O'ReillyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le · 2014-08
W · Dec · R3
Sai WangRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway · 2014-03

O'Reilly · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Dong Hyun MaRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale · 2016-12
L · KO · R1
Alan JoubanRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir · 2016-03
W · Dec · R3
Vik GrujicRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · 2015-05
L · Dec · R3
Zhang LipengRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le · 2014-08

News & Media

Zhang Lipeng · Brendan O'Reilly
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