UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller
Nashville, USA
20 Jan 2012
Middleweight
VS
47%
Rivera
53%
Schafer
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:31
JR
Jorge Rivera
"El Conquistador"
20 – 9
6'1"73" reachOrthodox54 yrsStriker
CFR 14
ES
Eric Schafer
"Red"
14 – 8
Pressure Fighter4-fight slide48 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'3"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Schafer

This is a genuine toss-up — Rivera at 47% vs Schafer at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Schafer has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Rivera has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Rivera's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Schafer has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Rivera
Schafer
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
73"
Reach
+76"
54
Age
+48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rivera
Schafer
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.4
16.5
48.0
Performance Avg
46.9
44
Quality of Victory
56
30
Momentum Score
33
Rivera
Schafer
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.0
54%
Strike Accuracy
41%
7.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
6Ground0
Rivera
Schafer
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
0.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.3
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rivera
Schafer
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
28
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/29 fights
Chin rating based on
9/22 fights
Rivera
Schafer
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
33
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Rivera
Schafer
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
100%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rivera
Schafer
Striking7.3 / 4.0Volume4.1 / 0.7Grappling0.9 / 5.3Wrestling0.6 / 3.7Submission0.0 / 6.7Pressure6.0 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
0.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.3
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Rivera
Strike Zones
Schafer
Rivera
Attacking
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Schafer
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rivera targets the head (100% of attacks) — Schafer absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Schafer targets the head (100% of attacks) — Rivera absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rivera
RND
Schafer
0/0R00/0

Rivera · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0104.5W1.5L4.0L4.5W1.5L5.0W1.5L5.0W1.5L4.5W5.5W5.2W2.8L5.5L5.2W2003-092006-012008-062011-022012-01
WinLossTrend

Schafer · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.0W1.5L2.8L5.0W5.0W5.5L5.5L5.5L2.8L2006-082008-092010-032012-01
WinLossTrend

Rivera · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Eric SchaferRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
L · Dec · R3
Constantinos PhilippouRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2 · 2011-08
L · KO · R2
Michael BispingRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · KO · R2
Nate QuarryRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi · 2010-03
W · KO · R3
Rob KimmonsRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 104: Machida vs Shogun · 2009-10

Schafer · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Jorge RiveraRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
L · Dec · R3
Aaron SimpsonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
L · Dec · R3
Jason BrilzRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 104: Machida vs Shogun · 2009-10
W · KO · R1
Antonio MendesRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 93: Franklin vs Henderson · 2009-01

News & Media

Jorge Rivera · Eric Schafer
← Back to fights