UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn
Phoenix, USA
15 Jan 2017
Lightweight
VS
66%
Lauzon
34%
Held
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JL
Joe Lauzon
28 – 16
5'10"71" reachOrthodox42 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 18
MH
Marcin Held
23 – 7
Well-Rounded34 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'9"
CFR 9

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lauzon

Lauzon holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Held has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Lauzon has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 24 points.

Lauzon has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Lauzon's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Lauzon
Held
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
71"
Reach
71"
42
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lauzon
Held
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
9.3
51.5
Performance Avg
25.0
49
Quality of Victory
25
59
Momentum Score
22
Lauzon
Held
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.4
43%
Strike Accuracy
36%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
13
1
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance13
1Clinch2
0Ground0
Lauzon
Held
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lauzon
Held
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
74
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
5
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/44 fights
Chin rating based on
4/30 fights
Lauzon
Held
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
22
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Lauzon
Held
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
7
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lauzon
Held
Striking4.4 / 0.5Volume2.2 / 8.5Grappling4.0 / 2.4Wrestling2.8 / 1.7Submission4.7 / 0.0Pressure7.3 / 0.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
4.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
2.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
Lauzon
Strike Zones
Held
Lauzon
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD2BODY0LEGS15 absorbed
Held
Attacking
13HEAD2BODY0LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lauzon targets the head (80% of attacks) — Held absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Held targets the head (87% of attacks) — Lauzon absorbs 87% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lauzon
RND
Held
0/0R00/0

Lauzon · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W5.2W5.0W2.8L5.2W5.8W5.5L5.0W2.8L5.0W5.0W1.5L5.5W5.9L5.6L4.5W5.0W2.8L5.0W5.5L5.0W5.9L4.5W5.5L2.0L2.8L5.5W2006-092010-082013-082016-082019-10
WinLossTrend

Held · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5L5.5L4.0L5.2W2016-112017-012017-052017-10
WinLossTrend

Lauzon · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Jonathan PearceRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10
L · KO · R2
Chris GruetzemacherRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
L · KO · R1
Clay GuidaRating 2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Stevie RayRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
W · Dec · R3
Marcin HeldRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01

Held · Last 4

W · Dec · R3
Nasrat HaqparastRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Till · 2017-10
L · KO · R3
Damir HadzovicRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
L · Dec · R3
Joe LauzonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01
L · Dec · R3
Diego SanchezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson · 2016-11

News & Media

Joe Lauzon · Marcin Held
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