UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen
Oakland, USA
7 Aug 2010
Light Heavyweight
VS
11%
Brown
89%
Boetsch
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
TB
Todd Brown
"Bulldog"
16 – 4
5'11"Orthodox49 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 2
TB
Tim Boetsch
"The Barbarian"
21 – 13
Striker2-fight slide45 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'0"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Boetsch

Boetsch is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Boetsch has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 43 points.

Boetsch has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Boetsch has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Brown
Boetsch
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
Reach
74"
49
Age
+45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Brown
Boetsch
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.1
16.6
0.0
Performance Avg
46.0
0
Quality of Victory
43
0
Momentum Score
69
Brown
Boetsch
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.3
55%
Strike Accuracy
57%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
13
0
Body
5
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
5Distance8
1Clinch3
0Ground9
Brown
Boetsch
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Brown
Boetsch
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/20 fights
Chin rating based on
24/34 fights
Brown
Boetsch
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
69
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Brown
Boetsch
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
58%
0
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Brown
Boetsch
Striking0.0 / 6.8Volume0.0 / 4.3Grappling0.0 / 1.0Wrestling0.0 / 0.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.0 / 5.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.8
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.3
Brown
Strike Zones
Boetsch
Brown
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY2LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD5BODY2LEGS20 absorbed
Boetsch
Attacking
13HEAD5BODY2LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY2LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Brown targets the head (67% of attacks) — Boetsch absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Boetsch targets the head (65% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 65% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Brown
RND
Boetsch
0/0R00/0

Brown · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.5
0105.5L1.5L2010-082011-03
WinLossTrend

Boetsch · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0105.0W2.8L5.0W5.5L4.5W2.8L4.5W4.5W5.5W4.5W4.0L5.5L4.5W1.5L5.3W2.8L1.5L2.9L5.2W5.0W1.5L5.2W1.5L5.5L2008-022011-052013-102016-072019-03
WinLossTrend

Brown · Last 2

L · KO · R1
Igor PokrajacRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann · 2011-03
L · Dec · R3
Tim BoetschRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen · 2010-08

Boetsch · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
L · Sub · R1
Antonio Carlos JuniorRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
W · KO · R2
Johny HendricksRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · Sub · R1
Jacare SouzaRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02
W · KO · R1
Rafael NatalRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor · 2016-11

News & Media

Todd Brown · Tim Boetsch
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