METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida
Atlantic City, USA
22 Jun 2012
Lightweight
VS
89%
Nijem
11%
Keith
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:29
★ Official Result
Ramsey NijemwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:29
def. CJ Keith · UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Nijem
→
Actual result
Nijem wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Nijem is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Nijem has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 39 points.
Risk flags
Nijem's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Keith has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NijemKeith
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Nijem
Keith
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
75"
Reach
38+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Nijem
Keith
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.8
1.8
43.4
Performance Avg
0.0
39
Quality of Victory
0
51
Momentum Score
0
Nijem
Keith
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.3
Style: Pressure
0.0
5.8
Style: Volume
0.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
3
0
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch2
3Ground1
Nijem
Keith
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nijem
Keith
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/15 fights
Chin rating based on
2/12 fights
Nijem
Keith
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
Nijem
Keith
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nijem
Keith
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
NijemKeith
Strike Zones
Nijem
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedKeith
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nijem targets the head (100% of attacks) — Keith absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Keith targets the head (60% of attacks) — Nijem absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nijem
RND
Keith
0/0R00/0
Nijem · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Andrew HolbrookDecision
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W · KO · R1
Beneil DariushKO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Justin EdwardsDecision
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L · Sub · R1
James VickSubmission
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Keith · Last 2
L · Sub · R2
Francisco TrinaldoSubmission
UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping · 2013-01
L · KO · R1
Ramsey NijemKO/TKO
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida · 2012-06