UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit
Vancouver, Canada
27 Aug 2016
Lightweight
VS
51%
Laprise
49%
Gouti
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:36
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Laprise
This is a genuine toss-up — Laprise at 51% vs Gouti at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Laprise has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Laprise's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Gouti has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Laprise
Gouti
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
71"
Reach
+72"
39
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Laprise
Gouti
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.8
16.4
56.0
Performance Avg
42.7
53
Quality of Victory
60
30
Momentum Score
33
Laprise
Gouti
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
1.3
47%
Strike Accuracy
35%
6.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
2
0
Body
0
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
10Distance4
2Clinch0
5Ground0
Laprise
Gouti
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Laprise
Gouti
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
50
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/17 fights
Chin rating based on
6/17 fights
Laprise
Gouti
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
33
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
Laprise
Gouti
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Laprise
Gouti
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.3
LapriseGouti
Strike Zones
Laprise
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedGouti
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Laprise targets the head (82% of attacks) — Gouti absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Gouti targets the head (50% of attacks) — Laprise absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Laprise
RND
Gouti
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Laprise · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Gouti · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Laprise · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Dhiego LimaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
L · KO · R1
Vicente LuqueRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman · 2018-05
W · KO · R1
Galore BofandoRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12
W · KO · R3
Brian CamozziRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker · 2017-07
W · KO · R1
Thibault GoutiRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit · 2016-08
Gouti · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Nasrat HaqparastRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
L · Dec · R3
Sage NorthcuttRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02
W · KO · R1
Andrew HolbrookRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · 2017-09
L · KO · R1
Chad LapriseRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit · 2016-08
L · Sub · R3
Olivier Aubin-MercierRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06