UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett
Las Vegas, USA
24 Jan 2026
Bantamweight
VS
51%
O'Malley
49%
Yadong
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: O'Malley
This is a genuine toss-up — O'Malley at 51% vs Yadong at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
O'Malley has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
O'Malley's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
O'Malley
Yadong
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'8"
72"+
Reach
67"
31
Age
+28
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
O'Malley
Yadong
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.3
61.9
59.5
Performance Avg
54.6
47
Quality of Victory
42
95
Momentum Score
83
O'Malley
Yadong
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
1.5
62%
Strike Accuracy
47%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
7
5
Body
1
4
Leg
4
RangeRange
25Distance12
0Clinch0
0Ground0
O'Malley
Yadong
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
O'Malley
Yadong
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
92
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
11 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/22 fights
Chin rating based on
17/31 fights
O'Malley
Yadong
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
95
83
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
O'Malley
Yadong
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
55%
6
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
O'Malley
Yadong
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
O'MalleyYadong
Strike Zones
O'Malley
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedYadong
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯O'Malley targets the head (64% of attacks) — Yadong absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Yadong targets the head (58% of attacks) — O'Malley absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
O'Malley
RND
Yadong
0/0R00/0
O'Malley · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Yadong · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
O'Malley · Last 5
Upcoming
Aiemann ZahabiUFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Song YadongRating 5.8Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
L · Sub · R3
Merab DvalishviliRating 4Submission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
L · Dec · R5
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Dec · R5
Marlon VeraRating 5.3Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
Yadong · Last 5
Upcoming
Deiveson FigueiredoUFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Sean O'MalleyRating 7Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Henry CejudoRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Petr YanRating 7Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
W · Dec · R5
Chris GutierrezRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12

