UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson
Washington, USA
1 Oct 2011
Heavyweight
VS
48%
Barry
52%
Struve
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:22
PB
Pat Barry
"HD"
8 – 7
5'11"74" reachOrthodox46 yrs2-fight slideStriker
CFR 19
SS
Stefan Struve
"Skyscraper"
33 – 13
Pressure Fighter2-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox84" reach6'11"
CFR 21

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Struve

This is a genuine toss-up — Barry at 48% vs Struve at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Struve throws more volume but Barry connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Barry's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Struve has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Barry
Struve
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'11"
74"
Reach
+84"
46
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Barry
Struve
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.8
20.6
47.3
Performance Avg
51.7
51
Quality of Victory
50
85
Momentum Score
98
Barry
Struve
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.8
57%
Strike Accuracy
52%
8.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.9
4 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
3
2
Body
3
5
Leg
6
RangeRange
11Distance11
0Clinch1
1Ground0
Barry
Struve
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
0.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.1
0.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Barry
Struve
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
8
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/15 fights
Chin rating based on
24/46 fights
Barry
Struve
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
98
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Barry
Struve
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
85%
4
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
6
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Barry
Struve
Striking8.8 / 4.9Volume2.4 / 2.3Grappling0.5 / 4.1Wrestling0.3 / 2.8Submission0.0 / 4.6Pressure6.8 / 7.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.1
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.6
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
2.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.3
Barry
Strike Zones
Struve
Barry
Attacking
5HEAD2BODY5LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD3BODY6LEGS12 absorbed
Struve
Attacking
3HEAD3BODY6LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD2BODY5LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Barry targets the head (42% of attacks) — Struve absorbs 42% of strikes there
🎯Struve targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Barry absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Barry
RND
Struve
0/0R00/0

Barry · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.3
0105.0W1.5L5.2W4.0L4.5W1.5L2.8L5.0W1.5L5.2W1.5L1.5L2008-122010-062011-102012-122013-12
WinLossTrend

Struve · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0101.5L5.2W5.0W4.5W1.5L5.2W5.0W1.5L5.2W5.2W5.0W6.2W4.0L1.5L4.5W5.5L5.0W5.2W4.0L6.2L5.9L5.9W2.8L1.9L2009-022010-122013-032017-092020-10
WinLossTrend

Barry · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Soa PaleleiRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot · 2013-12
L · KO · R1
Shawn JordanRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06
W · KO · R2
Shane del RosarioRating 5.2
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale · 2012-12
L · KO · R1
Lavar JohnsonRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
W · KO · R1
Christian MorecraftRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01

Struve · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Tai TuivasaRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
L · KO · R2
Ben RothwellRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
W · Sub · R2
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 5.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03

News & Media

Pat Barry · Stefan Struve
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