UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia
Kallang, Singapore
17 Jun 2017
Women's Bantamweight
VS
60%
Holm
40%
Correia
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 1:09
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Holm
Holm holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Correia has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Holm has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Correia has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Holm's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Correia has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Holm
Correia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'5"
69"+
Reach
64"
44
Age
+42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Holm
Correia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.1
25.0
46.5
Performance Avg
36.8
42
Quality of Victory
31
30
Momentum Score
88
Holm
Correia
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.7
42%
Strike Accuracy
46%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.9
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
0
1
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance2
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Holm
Correia
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.9
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Holm
Correia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
38
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/22 fights
Chin rating based on
12/17 fights
Holm
Correia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
88
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R3
Holm
Correia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
20%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Holm
Correia
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.8
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
HolmCorreia
Strike Zones
Holm
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedCorreia
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Holm targets the head (67% of attacks) — Correia absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Correia targets the body (50% of attacks) — Holm absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Holm
RND
Correia
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Holm · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Correia · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Holm · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Kayla HarrisonRating 4.9Submission
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
Upcoming
Mayra Bueno SilvaUFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
Yana SantosRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03
L · Dec · R5
Ketlen VieiraRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · 2022-05
W · Dec · R5
Irene AldanaRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · 2020-10
Correia · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Karol RosaRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Pannie KianzadRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
W · Dec · R3
Sijara EubanksRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · 2019-09
L · Sub · R3
Irene AldanaRating 4.8Submission
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
L · KO · R3
Holly HolmRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06