UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen
Las Vegas, USA
25 Feb 2023
Welterweight
VS
75%
Malott
25%
Lainesse
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:15
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Malott
Malott is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 47 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Malott has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 22 points.
Malott has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Lainesse has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Malott
Lainesse
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
73"
Reach
+76"
34
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Malott
Lainesse
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
70.1
23.5
63.2
Performance Avg
25.0
47
Quality of Victory
25
97
Momentum Score
28
Malott
Lainesse
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.8
57%
Strike Accuracy
35%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
1
4
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Malott
Lainesse
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Malott
Lainesse
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
54
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/16 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Malott
Lainesse
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
97
28
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Malott
Lainesse
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Malott
Lainesse
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
MalottLainesse
Strike Zones
Malott
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedLainesse
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Malott targets the body (44% of attacks) — Lainesse absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Lainesse targets the head (100% of attacks) — Malott absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Malott
RND
Lainesse
0/0R00/0
Malott · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Lainesse · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.6WinLossTrend
Malott · Last 5
W · KO · R3
Gilbert BurnsRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
W · KO · R2
Charles RadtkeRating 6.5KO/TKO
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Trevin GilesRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · KO · R3
Neil MagnyRating 4.6KO/TKO
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
Lainesse · Last 4
L · Sub · R1
Sam PattersonRating 3.2Submission
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
L · Sub · R1
Mike MalottRating 3.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · 2023-02
W · Dec · R3
Darian WeeksRating 4.5Decision
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
L · KO · R2
Gabe GreenRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04