UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega
Toronto, Canada
8 Dec 2018
Women's Flyweight
VS
72%
Cerminara
28%
Eye
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Cerminara
Cerminara is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Cerminara throws more volume but Eye connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Cerminara's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Eye has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Cerminara
Eye
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'6"
68"+
Reach
66"
37+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cerminara
Eye
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.2
16.0
40.9
Performance Avg
28.6
25
Quality of Victory
26
85
Momentum Score
30
Cerminara
Eye
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.3
35%
Strike Accuracy
41%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
18
3
Body
7
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
14Distance20
5Clinch7
8Ground0
Cerminara
Eye
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
1.9
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cerminara
Eye
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
60
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/24 fights
Chin rating based on
16/26 fights
Cerminara
Eye
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
30
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Cerminara
Eye
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
11
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cerminara
Eye
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
9.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
CerminaraEye
Strike Zones
Cerminara
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedEye
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cerminara targets the head (85% of attacks) — Eye absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Eye targets the head (67% of attacks) — Cerminara absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cerminara
RND
Eye
0/0R00/0
Cerminara · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Eye · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Cerminara · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Maycee BarberRating 6.5Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Manon FiorotRating 7.1Decision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
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UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01
W · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 5.2Decision
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
Eye · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Maycee BarberRating 6.5Decision
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
L · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07
L · Dec · R3
Joanne WoodRating 5.7Decision
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
L · Dec · R5
Cynthia CalvilloRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · 2020-06
W · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 5.2Decision
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12