UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson
Hidalgo, USA
17 Sept 2016
Featherweight
VS
74%
Skelly
26%
Blanco
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 0:19
CS
Chas Skelly
"The Scrapper"
19 – 3
5'11"72" reachOrthodox41 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 34
MB
Maximo Blanco
"Maxi"
12 – 8
Well-Rounded2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'8"
CFR 12

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Skelly

Skelly is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Skelly has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Blanco has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Skelly
Blanco
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'8"
72"+
Reach
71"
41+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Skelly
Blanco
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
34.0
12.0
56.6
Performance Avg
38.0
46
Quality of Victory
34
75
Momentum Score
13
Skelly
Blanco
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.5
36%
Strike Accuracy
45%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Skelly
Blanco
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
4.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
3.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Skelly
Blanco
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
70
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/22 fights
Chin rating based on
9/20 fights
Skelly
Blanco
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
13
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Skelly
Blanco
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
25%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Skelly
Blanco
Striking4.0 / 3.4Volume3.5 / 6.9Grappling4.6 / 1.8Wrestling3.2 / 1.3Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure7.4 / 3.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
Skelly
Strike Zones
Blanco
Skelly
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Blanco
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Skelly targets the body (100% of attacks) — Blanco absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Skelly
RND
Blanco
0/0R00/0

Skelly · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5L5.0W4.5W5.2W5.2W6.0L5.0W5.2W4.0L4.5W5.2W2014-042015-022016-092019-092022-02
WinLossTrend

Blanco · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0105.5L4.5W4.0L5.5L4.5W5.4W5.0W1.5L1.5L2012-042014-022015-072016-09
WinLossTrend

Skelly · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Mark StrieglRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Jordan GriffinRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09
Upcoming
Bobby Moffett
UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodriguez · 2018-11
L · KO · R3
Jason KnightRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos · 2017-05
W · Sub · R2
Chris GruetzemacherRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · 2017-02

Blanco · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Chas SkellyRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson · 2016-09
L · Sub · R1
Luke SandersRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · 2016-01
W · KO · R1
Mike de la TorreRating 5
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale · 2015-07
W · Dec · R3
Dan HookerRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson · 2014-09
W · Dec · R3
Andy OgleRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi · 2014-05

News & Media

Chas Skelly · Maximo Blanco
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