UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker
Las Vegas, USA
8 Jul 2017
Heavyweight
VS
43%
Browne
57%
Oleinik
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:44
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Oleinik
This is a genuine toss-up — Browne at 43% vs Oleinik at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Browne throws more volume but Oleinik connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Browne's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Oleinik has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Browne
Oleinik
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'6"+
Height
6'2"
79"
Reach
+80"
43+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Browne
Oleinik
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.1
26.5
55.1
Performance Avg
52.0
54
Quality of Victory
51
78
Momentum Score
39
Browne
Oleinik
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.6
44%
Strike Accuracy
49%
8.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.2
7 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
15
5
Body
9
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance8
6Clinch10
0Ground6
Browne
Oleinik
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.5
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Browne
Oleinik
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
4
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/25 fights
Chin rating based on
17/77 fights
Browne
Oleinik
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
39
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Browne
Oleinik
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
89%
89%
7
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
7
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Browne
Oleinik
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.2
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.5
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.5
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
7.8
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
2.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.9
BrowneOleinik
Strike Zones
Browne
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedOleinik
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Browne targets the head (55% of attacks) — Oleinik absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Oleinik targets the head (63% of attacks) — Browne absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Browne
RND
Oleinik
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Browne · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Oleinik · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Browne · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Aleksei OleinikRating 2.8Submission
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker · 2017-07
L · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
L · Dec · R3
Fabricio WerdumRating 5.5Decision
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem · 2016-09
L · KO · R1
Cain VelasquezRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
W · KO · R3
Matt MitrioneRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · 2016-01
Oleinik · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ilir LatifiRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Sub · R1
Jared VanderaaRating 5Submission
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Serghei SpivacRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · 2021-06
L · KO · R1
Chris DaukausRating 1.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02
L · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08