METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
Jacksonville, USA
24 Apr 2021
Light Heavyweight
VS
47%
Smith
53%
Crute
Win Probability
★ Official Result
Anthony SmithwinsR1 · 5:00
def. Jimmy Crute · UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Crute
→
Actual result
Smith wins
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Smith at 47% vs Crute at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Smith's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Crute has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SmithCrute
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Smith
Crute
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'2"
76"+
Reach
74"
38
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Smith
Crute
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.3
66.0
50.7
Performance Avg
56.7
50
Quality of Victory
55
100
Momentum Score
91
Smith
Crute
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.9
/ 10
4.5
/ 10
6.9
Style: Pressure
8.8
2.3
Style: Volume
1.2
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
7
4
Body
2
2
Leg
9
RangeRange
26Distance17
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Smith
Crute
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
5.3
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.7
3.9
Submission Style (/10)
6.7
5
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Smith
Crute
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
52
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
6
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/60 fights
Chin rating based on
12/18 fights
Smith
Crute
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
91
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Upcoming
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Smith
Crute
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
77%
100%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
5
Submission Wins
4
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Smith
Crute
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.3
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.7
3.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.8
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.2
SmithCrute
Strike Zones
Smith
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedCrute
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Smith targets the head (77% of attacks) — Crute absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Crute targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Smith
RND
Crute
0/0R00/0
Smith · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Zhang MingyangKO/TKO
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L · KO · R2
Dominick ReyesKO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Roman DolidzeDecision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · Sub · R1
Vitor PetrinoSubmission
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · KO · R3
Khalil Rountree Jr.KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
Crute · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Ivan ErslanSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · Sub · R1
Marcin PrachnioSubmission
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
Upcoming
Rodolfo BellatoDecision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
L · Sub · R2
Alonzo MenifieldSubmission
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
Upcoming
Alonzo MenifieldDecision
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02