UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Saint Preux
Nashville, USA
8 Aug 2015
Middleweight
VS
53%
Camozzi
47%
Watson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Camozzi
This is a genuine toss-up — Camozzi at 53% vs Watson at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Watson throws more volume but Camozzi connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Camozzi's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Camozzi
Watson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
75"+
Reach
73"
39+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Camozzi
Watson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.4
12.7
37.6
Performance Avg
35.4
31
Quality of Victory
40
63
Momentum Score
10
Camozzi
Watson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.4
46%
Strike Accuracy
45%
2.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.6
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
12
1
Body
14
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
23Distance17
2Clinch14
0Ground0
Camozzi
Watson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.5
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Camozzi
Watson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
90
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/37 fights
Chin rating based on
7/26 fights
Camozzi
Watson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
10
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Camozzi
Watson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
22%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Camozzi
Watson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
CamozziWatson
Strike Zones
Camozzi
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedWatson
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Camozzi targets the head (92% of attacks) — Watson absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Watson targets the body (45% of attacks) — Camozzi absorbs 45% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Camozzi
RND
Watson
0/0R00/0
Camozzi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Watson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Camozzi · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
L · Dec · R3
Daniel KellyRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
L · Sub · R3
Thales LeitesRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
Vitor MirandaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
W · KO · R1
Joe RiggsRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowboy · 2016-02
Watson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Chris CamozziRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Saint Preux · 2015-08
L · Dec · R3
Rafael NatalRating 5.5Decision
UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint Preux · 2014-08
L · Dec · R3
Nick CatoneRating 5.5Decision
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02
L · Dec · R3
Thales LeitesRating 5.5Decision
UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung · 2013-08