Bo Nickal vs Kyle Daukaus — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Freedom 250

Washington, USA

14 Jun 2026

Middleweight

61%

Nickal

39%

Daukaus

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 1 · 4:34

Bo Nickal

8 – 1

6'1"76" reachSouthpaw30 yrs2-fight win streakStriker

CFR 70

Kyle Daukaus

17 – 4

Well-Rounded33 yrsSouthpaw76" reach6'2"

CFR 45

★ Official Result

Bo NickalwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:34

def. Kyle Daukaus · UFC Freedom 250

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Nickal

Nickal wins by submission in round 2. His top pressure overwhelms Daukaus and he…

→

Actual result

Nickal wins

KO/TKO · R1

Pre-fight analysis

Nickal's redemption run continues — the wrestling prodigy looks to stay on the title path against a gritty veteran

Bo Nickal's UFC career split neatly into two chapters: the perfect prospect and the man who lost to Paul Craig and had to rebuild. The rebound — a spectacular high-kick KO of Rodolfo Vieira — was a statement about adaptability. Nickal was not supposed to be winning with his striking. Kyle Daukaus (17-4) is on a two-fight win streak and brings legitimate grappling credentials, but his composite rat…

Nickal intel

Nickal (8-1, CFR 68.4) is back on track after the Craig loss. His striking has improved meaningfully and his wrestling remains elite at middleweight.

Daukaus intel

Daukaus (17-4, CFR 47.7) is a capable grappler with legitimate finishing ability — a live underdog because of his mat skills but faces a significant overall quality gap.

Key angles

Nickal's level changes — his shooting entries are still elite

Daukaus's submission game from bottom position

Whether Nickal's striking improvement is enough to dominate on the feet

Risk flags

Daukaus's submission game is legitimate — carelessness from Nickal on top is dangerous

Nickal's one loss showed he can be submitted from unusual angles

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

NickalDaukaus

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Nickal

Daukaus

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'1"

Height

+6'2"

76"

Reach

76"

30+

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

Nickal

Daukaus

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

70.0

44.7

64.1

Performance Avg

46.7

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Nickal

Daukaus

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

6.7

/ 10

3.4

/ 10

8.4

Style: Pressure

6.6

3.0

Style: Volume

2.9

3 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

1 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

7Distance2

0Clinch0

9Ground0

Nickal

Daukaus

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.1

/ 10

4.6

/ 10

2.1

Wrestling Style (/10)

3.2

3.3

Submission Style (/10)

5.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Nickal

Daukaus

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Moderate

Verdict

2 consec. KOs

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R2.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.3 stoppage

2 fights ago

Last KO loss

1 fight ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

7/9 fights

Chin rating based on

11/21 fights

Nickal

Daukaus

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

2-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

W · KO · R1

W · KO · R3

L · KO · R2

W · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R2

Last 5

Upcoming

L · KO · R1

W · Sub · R1

W · KO · R1

L · KO · R2

Nickal

Daukaus

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

83%

75%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Nickal

Daukaus

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

6.7

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

3.4

3.1

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

4.6

2.1

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

3.2

3.3

Submission

Submission attack frequency

5.0

8.4

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

6.6

3.0

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

2.9

Nickal

Strike Zones

Daukaus

Nickal

Attacking

16 landed

Absorbing

2 absorbed

Daukaus

Attacking

2 landed

Absorbing

16 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Nickal targets the head (94% of attacks) — Daukaus absorbs 94% of strikes there

🎯Daukaus targets the head (50% of attacks) — Nickal absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Nickal

RND

Daukaus

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Nickal · Last 5

W · KO · R1

Kyle Daukaus

KO/TKO

UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06

W · KO · R3

Rodolfo Vieira

KO/TKO

UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11

L · KO · R2

Reinier de Ridder

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05

W · Dec · R3

Paul Craig

Decision

UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11

W · Sub · R2

Cody Brundage

Submission

UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04

Daukaus · Last 5

Upcoming

Marc-Andre Barriault

UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott · 2026-10

L · KO · R1

Bo Nickal

KO/TKO

UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06

W · Sub · R1

Gerald Meerschaert

Submission

UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11

W · KO · R1

Michel Pereira

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08

L · KO · R2

Eryk Anders

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12

News & Media

Bo Nickal · Kyle Daukaus

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