METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker
Doha, Qatar
22 Nov 2025
Flyweight
VS
48%
Ulanbekov
52%
Horiguchi
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 2:18
★ Official Result
Kyoji HoriguchiwinsSubmissionR3 · 2:18
def. Tagir Ulanbekov · UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Horiguchi
→
Actual result
Horiguchi wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Ulanbekov at 48% vs Horiguchi at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Horiguchi has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
UlanbekovHoriguchi
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ulanbekov
Horiguchi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'4"
70"+
Reach
63"
35
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Ulanbekov
Horiguchi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.3
60.6
50.3
Performance Avg
53.7
34
Quality of Victory
35
80
Momentum Score
100
Ulanbekov
Horiguchi
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
3.9
/ 10
4.6
Style: Pressure
4.8
6.8
Style: Volume
7.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
18
0
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground16
Ulanbekov
Horiguchi
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ulanbekov
Horiguchi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
66
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/20 fights
Chin rating based on
11/41 fights
Ulanbekov
Horiguchi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
100
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Ulanbekov
Horiguchi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ulanbekov
Horiguchi
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.9
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
UlanbekovHoriguchi
Strike Zones
Ulanbekov
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedHoriguchi
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Horiguchi targets the head (90% of attacks) — Ulanbekov absorbs 90% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ulanbekov
RND
Horiguchi
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Ulanbekov · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Kyoji HoriguchiSubmission
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W · Dec · R3
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Clayton CarpenterDecision
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W · Sub · R2
Cody DurdenSubmission
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W · Sub · R1
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Horiguchi · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Manel KapeKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Amir AlbaziDecision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · Sub · R3
Tagir UlanbekovSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Ali BagautinovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
W · Dec · R3
Neil SeeryDecision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05