UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker
Doha, Qatar
22 Nov 2025
Flyweight
VS
47%
Ulanbekov
53%
Horiguchi
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 2:18
Tagir
Tagir Ulanbekov
17 – 3
5'7"70" reachSouthpaw34 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 56
Kyoji
Kyoji Horiguchi
"Karate Kid"
36 – 5
Well-Rounded5-fight win streak35 yrsOrthodox63" reach5'4"
CFR 64

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Horiguchi

This is a genuine toss-up — Ulanbekov at 47% vs Horiguchi at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Horiguchi throws more volume but Ulanbekov connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Ulanbekov
Horiguchi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'4"
70"+
Reach
63"
34+
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Ulanbekov
Horiguchi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.3
64.0
50.3
Performance Avg
56.7
34
Quality of Victory
34
80
Momentum Score
100
Ulanbekov
Horiguchi
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.4
54%
Strike Accuracy
49%
1.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
18
0
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground16
Ulanbekov
Horiguchi
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ulanbekov
Horiguchi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
88
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/20 fights
Chin rating based on
11/41 fights
Ulanbekov
Horiguchi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
100
Current form
5-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Ulanbekov
Horiguchi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ulanbekov
Horiguchi
Striking1.5 / 4.0Volume6.8 / 7.1Grappling4.3 / 2.5Wrestling3.0 / 1.7Submission3.3 / 1.1Pressure4.6 / 5.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
Ulanbekov
Strike Zones
Horiguchi
Ulanbekov
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD1BODY1LEGS20 absorbed
Horiguchi
Attacking
18HEAD1BODY1LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Horiguchi targets the head (90% of attacks) — Ulanbekov absorbs 90% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ulanbekov
RND
Horiguchi
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0

Ulanbekov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.4W6.0W5.6L6.2W5.4W5.4W4.5W5.5L2020-102022-032023-122025-062025-11
WinLossTrend

Horiguchi · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.2W4.5W5.0W4.5W4.0L4.5W4.5W4.5W6.6W5.8W2013-102015-012016-052026-02
WinLossTrend

Ulanbekov · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Kyoji HoriguchiRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Azat MaksumRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Clayton CarpenterRating 5.4
Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Sub · R2
Cody DurdenRating 5.4
Submission
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
W · Sub · R1
Nate ManessRating 6.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos · 2022-11

Horiguchi · Last 5

Upcoming
Manel Kape
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Amir AlbaziRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · Sub · R3
Tagir UlanbekovRating 6.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Ali BagautinovRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
W · Dec · R3
Neil SeeryRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05

News & Media

Tagir Ulanbekov · Kyoji Horiguchi
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