UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson
Las Vegas, USA
8 May 2021
Middleweight
VS
40%
Hawes
60%
Daukaus
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Daukaus
Daukaus holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Hawes has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hawes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Hawes's chin rating of 12 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Daukaus has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Hawes
Daukaus
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
77"+
Reach
76"
37
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Hawes
Daukaus
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.2
47.7
44.8
Performance Avg
49.0
41
Quality of Victory
48
13
Momentum Score
33
Hawes
Daukaus
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.8
1.0
59%
Strike Accuracy
51%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
1
4
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance1
0Clinch0
15Ground0
Hawes
Daukaus
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
4.6
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hawes
Daukaus
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
12
52
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/18 fights
Chin rating based on
10/21 fights
Hawes
Daukaus
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
13
33
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Hawes
Daukaus
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
75%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hawes
Daukaus
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.0
HawesDaukaus
Strike Zones
Hawes
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedDaukaus
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hawes targets the head (81% of attacks) — Daukaus absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Daukaus targets the head (100% of attacks) — Hawes absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hawes
RND
Daukaus
0/0R00/0
Hawes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Daukaus · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Hawes · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Brunno FerreiraRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
L · KO · R1
Ikram AliskerovRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
L · KO · R1
Roman DolidzeRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
W · KO · R2
Deron WinnRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06
L · KO · R1
Chris CurtisRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
Daukaus · Last 5
Upcoming
Bo NickalUFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · Sub · R1
Gerald MeerschaertRating 6.1Submission
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Michel PereiraRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · KO · R2
Eryk AndersRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · KO · R1
Roman DolidzeRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06