UFC 96: Jackson vs Jardine
Columbus, USA
7 Mar 2009
Light Heavyweight
VS
62%
Jackson
38%
Jardine
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jackson
Jackson holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Jardine has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Jardine throws more volume but Jackson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Jardine has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Jackson
Jardine
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
73"
Reach
+76"
47+
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jackson
Jardine
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.5
13.3
51.1
Performance Avg
40.0
44
Quality of Victory
36
100
Momentum Score
48
Jackson
Jardine
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.8
41%
Strike Accuracy
41%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
3 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
11
2
Body
3
0
Leg
6
RangeRange
19Distance18
1Clinch2
0Ground0
Jackson
Jardine
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.5
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jackson
Jardine
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
6
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/49 fights
Chin rating based on
13/28 fights
Jackson
Jardine
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
48
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Jackson
Jardine
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
33%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jackson
Jardine
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.7
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
JacksonJardine
Strike Zones
Jackson
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedJardine
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jackson targets the head (90% of attacks) — Jardine absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Jardine targets the head (55% of attacks) — Jackson absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jackson
RND
Jardine
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Jackson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Jardine · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Jackson · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Fabio MaldonadoRating 4.5Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04
L · Dec · R3
Glover TeixeiraRating 5.9Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderRating 5.5Decision
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson · 2012-02
L · Sub · R4
Jon JonesRating 5.2Submission
UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage · 2011-09
W · Dec · R3
Matt HamillRating 4.5Decision
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · 2011-05
Jardine · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Matt HamillRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Liddell vs Team Ortiz Finale · 2010-06
L · KO · R3
Ryan BaderRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02
L · KO · R1
Thiago SilvaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 102: Couture vs Nogueira · 2009-08
L · Dec · R3
Quinton JacksonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 96: Jackson vs Jardine · 2009-03
W · Dec · R3
Brandon VeraRating 4.5Decision
UFC 89: Bisping vs Leben · 2008-10