METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2
Miami, USA
9 Mar 2024
Heavyweight
VS
43%
Blaydes
57%
Almeida
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:36
★ Official Result
Curtis BlaydeswinsKO/TKOR2 · 0:36
def. Jailton Almeida · UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Almeida
→
Actual result
Blaydes wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Blaydes at 43% vs Almeida at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Almeida has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Risk flags
Blaydes's chin rating of 8 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BlaydesAlmeida
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Blaydes
Almeida
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'3"
80"+
Reach
79"
35
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Blaydes
Almeida
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.9
70.9
53.4
Performance Avg
61.0
42
Quality of Victory
53
81
Momentum Score
100
Blaydes
Almeida
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.4
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
5.6
Style: Pressure
8.3
4.8
Style: Volume
2.5
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
16Ground0
Blaydes
Almeida
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Blaydes
Almeida
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
8
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/25 fights
Chin rating based on
11/27 fights
Blaydes
Almeida
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
100
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Blaydes
Almeida
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
88%
7
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
4
7
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Blaydes
Almeida
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.2
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.3
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.5
BlaydesAlmeida
Strike Zones
Blaydes
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedAlmeida
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Blaydes targets the head (100% of attacks) — Almeida absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Almeida targets the head (100% of attacks) — Blaydes absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Blaydes
RND
Almeida
0/0R00/0
Blaydes · Last 5
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