METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
Anaheim, USA
17 Feb 2024
Middleweight
VS
49%
Whittaker
51%
Costa
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Robert WhittakerwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Paulo Costa · UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Costa
→
Actual result
Whittaker wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Whittaker at 49% vs Costa at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Whittaker's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
WhittakerCosta
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Whittaker
Costa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
73"+
Reach
72"
35
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Whittaker
Costa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.0
55.3
56.6
Performance Avg
52.9
46
Quality of Victory
44
71
Momentum Score
59
Whittaker
Costa
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.3
/ 10
7.6
/ 10
4.9
Style: Pressure
6.4
6.3
Style: Volume
4.3
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
7
0
Body
2
8
Leg
5
RangeRange
25Distance14
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Whittaker
Costa
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Whittaker
Costa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
72
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/36 fights
Chin rating based on
12/20 fights
Whittaker
Costa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
59
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Whittaker
Costa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
39%
63%
7
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
0
11
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Whittaker
Costa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.6
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.9
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.3
WhittakerCosta
Strike Zones
Whittaker
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedCosta
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Whittaker targets the head (68% of attacks) — Costa absorbs 68% of strikes there
🎯Costa targets the head (50% of attacks) — Whittaker absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Whittaker
RND
Costa
0/0R00/0
Whittaker · Last 5
W · KO · R3
Nikita KrylovKO/TKO
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Reinier de RidderDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Sub · R1
Khamzat ChimaevSubmission
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R1
Ikram AliskerovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Paulo CostaDecision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
Costa · Last 5
W · KO · R3
Azamat MurzakanovKO/TKO
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Roman KopylovDecision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandDecision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Robert WhittakerDecision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
W · Dec · R3
Luke RockholdDecision
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08