UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green
Las Vegas, USA
26 Feb 2022
Middleweight
VS
51%
Cirkunov
49%
Turman
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:29
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Cirkunov
This is a genuine toss-up — Cirkunov at 51% vs Turman at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Cirkunov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Cirkunov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Cirkunov's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Turman has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Cirkunov
Turman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
77"+
Reach
72"
39
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cirkunov
Turman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.3
27.0
50.1
Performance Avg
33.2
53
Quality of Victory
33
59
Momentum Score
15
Cirkunov
Turman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.2
54%
Strike Accuracy
52%
2.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
5
4
Body
6
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance4
2Clinch7
0Ground0
Cirkunov
Turman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.7
Sub Attempts / fight
—
6.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
4.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cirkunov
Turman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
38
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
5
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/24 fights
Chin rating based on
9/26 fights
Cirkunov
Turman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
15
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Cirkunov
Turman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
5
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cirkunov
Turman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
6.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
4.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
8.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
8.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
CirkunovTurman
Strike Zones
Cirkunov
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTurman
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cirkunov targets the body (57% of attacks) — Turman absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Turman targets the body (55% of attacks) — Cirkunov absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cirkunov
RND
Turman
0/0R00/0
Cirkunov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Turman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Cirkunov · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Alonzo MenifieldRating 2.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10
L · Sub · R2
Wellington TurmanRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · KO · R1
Ryan SpannRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
W · Sub · R1
Jimmy CruteRating 6.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09
Turman · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Jared GoodenRating 3.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06
L · Dec · R3
Andre PetroskiRating 6Decision
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
W · Sub · R2
Misha CirkunovRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08