UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal
Las Vegas, USA
19 Dec 2020
Bantamweight
VS
46%
Aldo
54%
Vera
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Jose
Jose Aldo
32 – 10
5'7"70" reachOrthodox39 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 45
Marlon
Marlon Vera
"Chito"
23 – 12
Well-Rounded4-fight slide33 yrsSwitch70" reach5'8"
CFR 51

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Vera

This is a genuine toss-up — Aldo at 46% vs Vera at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Vera has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Aldo's chin rating of 2 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Aldo
Vera
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
70"
Reach
70"
39
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Aldo
Vera
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.5
51.4
53.6
Performance Avg
50.4
49
Quality of Victory
46
40
Momentum Score
39
Aldo
Vera
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.7
48%
Strike Accuracy
51%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
4 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Aldo
Vera
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.7
/ 10
2.8
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.9
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.7
0
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Aldo
Vera
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
2
78
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/42 fights
Chin rating based on
26/35 fights
Aldo
Vera
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
39
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Aldo
Vera
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
73%
4
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
4
10
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Aldo
Vera
Striking4.1 / 5.8Volume6.9 / 3.3Grappling1.7 / 2.8Wrestling1.2 / 1.9Submission0.0 / 2.7Pressure3.8 / 6.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.7
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
Aldo
Strike Zones
Vera
Aldo
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 absorbed
Vera
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Aldo targets the head (100% of attacks) — Vera absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Vera targets the head (50% of attacks) — Aldo absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Aldo
RND
Vera
0/0R00/0

Aldo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W4.5W5.0W4.5W5.9W4.5W4.5W3.5L4.5W3.8L3.8L5.5W6.0W7.0L5.5L5.5L5.3W5.0W5.7W6.8L5.0W6.6L6.6L2011-042014-102019-022021-122025-05
WinLossTrend

Vera · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0105.5L5.2W6.3L4.5W5.5W5.3W5.5L5.7L5.2W5.2W5.0W5.2W5.5W6.8L6.5W6.0L5.3W5.5W5.7W5.4W7.0L5.0W7.0L6.6L6.6L7.2L2014-112018-022020-082023-082026-02
WinLossTrend

Aldo · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Aiemann ZahabiRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Mario BautistaRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Jonathan MartinezRating 5
Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
W · Dec · R5
Rob FontRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12

Vera · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
David MartinezRating 7.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Aiemann ZahabiRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R5
Sean O'MalleyRating 7
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Pedro MunhozRating 5
Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08

News & Media

Jose Aldo · Marlon Vera
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