METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
12 May 2018
Middleweight
VS
23%
Leites
77%
Hermansson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:10
★ Official Result
Jack HermanssonwinsKO/TKOR3 · 2:10
def. Thales Leites · UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hermansson
→
Actual result
Hermansson wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Hermansson is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Leites's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hermansson has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LeitesHermansson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Leites
Hermansson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
78"+
Reach
77"
45
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Leites
Hermansson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.4
53.8
48.8
Performance Avg
48.1
40
Quality of Victory
42
35
Momentum Score
97
Leites
Hermansson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.8
/ 10
3.9
/ 10
5.6
Style: Pressure
5.6
4.9
Style: Volume
4.8
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
17
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground16
Leites
Hermansson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.3
3.9
Submission Style (/10)
2.7
5
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Leites
Hermansson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.4 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/37 fights
Chin rating based on
19/34 fights
Leites
Hermansson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
97
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Leites
Hermansson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
54%
55%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
5
Submission Wins
3
6
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Leites
Hermansson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.9
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
3.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.7
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
LeitesHermansson
Strike Zones
Leites
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedHermansson
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hermansson targets the head (100% of attacks) — Leites absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Leites
RND
Hermansson
0/0R00/0
Leites · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Hector LombardDecision
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · KO · R3
Jack HermanssonKO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresDecision
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
Hermansson · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Myktybek OrolbaiKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · KO · R1
Gregory RodriguesKO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Joe PyferDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · KO · R2
Roman DolidzeKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
Chris CurtisDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07