METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos
Winnipeg, Canada
16 Dec 2017
Light Heavyweight
VS
55%
Cannonier
45%
Blachowicz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jan BlachowiczwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jared Cannonier · UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cannonier
→
Actual result
Blachowicz wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Cannonier at 55% vs Blachowicz at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Cannonier's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Blachowicz has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CannonierBlachowicz
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Cannonier
Blachowicz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'2"
77"
Reach
+78"
42+
Age
43
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Cannonier
Blachowicz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.5
44.0
48.2
Performance Avg
51.8
46
Quality of Victory
48
82
Momentum Score
20
Cannonier
Blachowicz
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.4
/ 10
5.3
/ 10
6.0
Style: Pressure
5.8
4.0
Style: Volume
4.5
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
7
1
Body
2
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
13Distance8
0Clinch0
1Ground1
Cannonier
Blachowicz
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
/ 10
2.3
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cannonier
Blachowicz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
32
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/27 fights
Chin rating based on
23/40 fights
Cannonier
Blachowicz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
82
20
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R4
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R4
Last 5
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Cannonier
Blachowicz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
58%
7
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cannonier
Blachowicz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
0.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.3
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
CannonierBlachowicz
Strike Zones
Cannonier
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedBlachowicz
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cannonier targets the head (71% of attacks) — Blachowicz absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Blachowicz targets the head (78% of attacks) — Cannonier absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cannonier
RND
Blachowicz
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Cannonier · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Christian Leroy DuncanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · 2026-07
L · Dec · R3
Michael PageDecision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · KO · R4
Gregory RodriguesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R5
Caio BorralhoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
L · KO · R4
Nassourdine ImavovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
Blachowicz · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Navajo StirlingKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
Upcoming
Bogdan GuskovDecision
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L · Dec · R3
Carlos UlbergDecision
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L · Dec · R3
Alex PereiraDecision
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
Upcoming
Magomed AnkalaevDecision
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12