METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
16 Jan 2021
Heavyweight
VS
27%
Felipe
73%
Tafa
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Carlos FelipewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Justin Tafa · UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Tafa
→
Actual result
Felipe wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Tafa is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Tafa has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.
Striking split: Felipe throws more volume but Tafa connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Tafa has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
FelipeTafa
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Felipe
Tafa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
75"+
Reach
74"
31+
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Felipe
Tafa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
24.5
66.1
39.0
Performance Avg
53.8
25
Quality of Victory
60
65
Momentum Score
98
Felipe
Tafa
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
1.7
52%
Strike Accuracy
54%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
20
12
Body
5
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
27Distance16
6Clinch10
0Ground0
Felipe
Tafa
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Felipe
Tafa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
50
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/13 fights
Chin rating based on
10/12 fights
Felipe
Tafa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
98
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
Felipe
Tafa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Felipe
Tafa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.3
9.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
FelipeTafa
Strike Zones
Felipe
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTafa
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Felipe targets the head (64% of attacks) — Tafa absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Tafa targets the head (77% of attacks) — Felipe absorbs 77% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Felipe
RND
Tafa
0/0R00/0
Felipe · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Tafa · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Felipe · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont · 2021-10
W · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 4.5Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
W · Dec · R3
Justin TafaRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
W · Dec · R3
Yorgan De CastroRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · 2020-10
L · Dec · R3
Serghei SpivacRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2 · 2020-07
Tafa · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Tallison TeixeiraRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Karl WilliamsRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
W · KO · R1
Austen LaneRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
Upcoming
Austen LaneUFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06
W · KO · R1
Parker PorterRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02