UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns
Las Vegas, USA
30 May 2020
Flyweight
VS
42%
Elliott
58%
Royval
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:18
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Royval
This is a genuine toss-up — Elliott at 42% vs Royval at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Royval throws more volume but Elliott connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Elliott's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Royval has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Elliott
Royval
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
66"
Reach
+68"
39
Age
+33
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Elliott
Royval
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.8
50.3
37.9
Performance Avg
48.2
33
Quality of Victory
42
43
Momentum Score
62
Elliott
Royval
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
2.1
44%
Strike Accuracy
43%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
2
1
Body
1
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Elliott
Royval
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
4.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.5
2.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Elliott
Royval
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
40
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
5
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/36 fights
Chin rating based on
13/26 fights
Elliott
Royval
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
62
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Elliott
Royval
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
57%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
3
7
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Elliott
Royval
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.6
4.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.5
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.1
3.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.3
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
ElliottRoyval
Strike Zones
Elliott
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedRoyval
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Elliott targets the legs (80% of attacks) — Royval absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Royval targets the head (50% of attacks) — Elliott absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Elliott
RND
Royval
0/0R00/0
Elliott · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Royval · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Elliott · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Steve ErcegRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
W · Sub · R2
Kai AsakuraRating 5.2Submission
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Sub · R1
SumudaerjiRating 5.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
L · Sub · R3
Muhammad MokaevRating 5.4Submission
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
W · Dec · R3
Victor AltamiranoRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
Royval · Last 5
Upcoming
Lone'er KavanaghUFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · KO · R1
Manel KapeRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Joshua VanRating 7.1Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Tatsuro TairaRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
W · Dec · R5
Brandon MorenoRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02