METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns
Las Vegas, USA
30 May 2020
Flyweight
VS
41%
Elliott
59%
Royval
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:18
Tim
Tim Elliott
2214
5'7"66" reachSouthpaw39 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 37
Brandon
Brandon Royval
"Raw Dawg"
179
Well-Rounded34 yrsSouthpaw68" reach5'9"
CFR 53
★ Official Result
Brandon RoyvalwinsSubmissionR2 · 3:18
def. Tim Elliott · UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Royval
Actual result
Royval wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Elliott at 41% vs Royval at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Royval has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.

Risk flags

Elliott's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Royval has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
ElliottRoyval
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Elliott
Royval
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
66"
Reach
+68"
39
Age
+34
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Elliott
Royval
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.9
52.7
38.0
Performance Avg
50.5
33
Quality of Victory
43
43
Momentum Score
65
Elliott
Royval
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
3.5
Style: Pressure
6.2
6.5
Style: Volume
4.2
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
2
1
Body
1
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Elliott
Royval
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.1
/ 10
4.9
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.4
3.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
3
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Elliott
Royval
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
40
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
5
Sub Losses
1
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
Strikes absorbed / min
23/36 fights
Chin rating based on
13/26 fights
Elliott
Royval
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
65
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Elliott
Royval
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
63%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
4
7
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Elliott
Royval
Striking0.9 / 2.5Volume6.5 / 4.2Grappling4.1 / 4.9Wrestling2.9 / 3.4Submission3.0 / 5.0Pressure3.5 / 6.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.5
4.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.9
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.4
3.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
Elliott
Strike Zones
Royval
Elliott
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY4LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Royval
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY4LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Elliott targets the legs (80% of attacks) — Royval absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Royval targets the head (50% of attacks) — Elliott absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Elliott
RND
Royval
0/0R00/0

Elliott · Last 5

Upcoming
Edgar Chairez
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L · Dec · R3
Steve Erceg
Decision
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W · Sub · R2
Kai Asakura
Submission
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Sub · R1
Sumudaerji
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
L · Sub · R3
Muhammad Mokaev
Submission
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10

Royval · Last 5

W · Sub · R3
Lone'er Kavanagh
Submission
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · KO · R1
Manel Kape
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Joshua Van
Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Tatsuro Taira
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
W · Dec · R5
Brandon Moreno
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02

News & Media

Tim Elliott · Brandon Royval
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