UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler
Dallas, USA
15 Mar 2014
Flyweight
VS
15%
Campuzano
85%
Scoggins
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
WC
Will Campuzano
14 – 6
5'9"70" reachOrthodox39 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 2
JS
Justin Scoggins
11 – 5
Well-Rounded3-fight slide34 yrsSouthpaw66" reach5'7"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Scoggins

Scoggins is a strong favourite at 85% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Scoggins has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 34 points.

Scoggins has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Scoggins has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Campuzano
Scoggins
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
70"+
Reach
66"
39
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Campuzano
Scoggins
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.3
13.5
0.0
Performance Avg
38.0
0
Quality of Victory
34
0
Momentum Score
39
Campuzano
Scoggins
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.4
33%
Strike Accuracy
63%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
33
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground34
Campuzano
Scoggins
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Campuzano
Scoggins
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
60
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
3
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/20 fights
Chin rating based on
9/16 fights
Campuzano
Scoggins
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
39
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Campuzano
Scoggins
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
25%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Campuzano
Scoggins
Striking0.0 / 3.4Volume0.0 / 6.9Grappling0.0 / 1.8Wrestling0.0 / 1.3Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.0 / 3.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
Campuzano
Strike Zones
Scoggins
Campuzano
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
33HEAD1BODY0LEGS34 absorbed
Scoggins
Attacking
33HEAD1BODY0LEGS34 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Scoggins targets the head (97% of attacks) — Campuzano absorbs 97% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Campuzano
RND
Scoggins
0/0R00/0

Campuzano · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.0L5.5L5.5L5.5L2010-122011-012013-112014-03
WinLossTrend

Scoggins · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.0W4.5W5.5L2.8L4.5W4.5W3.2L2.8L6.9L2013-122014-092016-112018-07
WinLossTrend

Campuzano · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Justin ScogginsRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler · 2014-03
L · Dec · R3
Sergio PettisRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11
L · Dec · R3
Chris CariasoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 2 · 2011-01
L · Sub · R3
Nick PaceRating 4
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP vs Team Koscheck Finale · 2010-12

Scoggins · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Said NurmagomedovRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · Sub · R2
Yuta SasakiRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06
L · Sub · R2
Pedro MunhozRating 3.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
W · Dec · R3
Ray BorgRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
W · Dec · R3
Josh SampoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05

News & Media

Will Campuzano · Justin Scoggins
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