UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
26 Jul 2025
Bantamweight
VS
48%
Grant
52%
Blackshear
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Blackshear
This is a genuine toss-up — Grant at 48% vs Blackshear at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Blackshear has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Striking split: Blackshear throws more volume but Grant connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Grant's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Grant
Blackshear
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
69"
Reach
+72"
40
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Grant
Blackshear
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.7
55.1
44.2
Performance Avg
50.7
36
Quality of Victory
48
85
Momentum Score
56
Grant
Blackshear
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
2.1
45%
Strike Accuracy
45%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.1
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
4
14
Body
2
12
Leg
8
RangeRange
33Distance13
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Grant
Blackshear
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
2.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.3
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Grant
Blackshear
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
72
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
4
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/26 fights
Chin rating based on
10/25 fights
Grant
Blackshear
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
56
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
Grant
Blackshear
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
80%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
3
5
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Grant
Blackshear
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.1
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.3
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.7
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.7
GrantBlackshear
Strike Zones
Grant
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedBlackshear
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Grant targets the body (41% of attacks) — Blackshear absorbs 41% of strikes there
🎯Blackshear targets the legs (57% of attacks) — Grant absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Grant
RND
Blackshear
0/0R00/0
Grant · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Blackshear · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Grant · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Adrian Luna MartinettiRating 4.5Decision
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Charles JourdainRating 2.3Submission
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W · Dec · R3
Da'Mon BlackshearRating 5.5Decision
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W · Dec · R3
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Blackshear · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Davey GrantRating 6.3Decision
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AlatengheiliRating 5.1Decision
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