UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
11 May 2019
Lightweight
VS
55%
Moises
45%
Holobaugh
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Moises
This is a genuine toss-up — Moises at 55% vs Holobaugh at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Holobaugh has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Moises's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Holobaugh has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Moises
Holobaugh
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
70"
31+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Moises
Holobaugh
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.7
32.1
42.7
Performance Avg
31.2
38
Quality of Victory
37
39
Momentum Score
20
Moises
Holobaugh
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.1
44%
Strike Accuracy
47%
2.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
3
2
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance2
3Clinch1
21Ground1
Moises
Holobaugh
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
2.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Moises
Holobaugh
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
46
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/29 fights
Chin rating based on
9/32 fights
Moises
Holobaugh
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
20
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Moises
Holobaugh
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Moises
Holobaugh
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
MoisesHolobaugh
Strike Zones
Moises
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedHolobaugh
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Moises targets the head (89% of attacks) — Holobaugh absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Holobaugh targets the head (75% of attacks) — Moises absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Moises
RND
Holobaugh
0/0R00/0
Moises · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Holobaugh · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Moises · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gauge YoungRating 6.1Decision
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