METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
11 May 2019
Lightweight
VS
55%
Moises
45%
Holobaugh
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Thiago MoiseswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Kurt Holobaugh · UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Moises
→
Actual result
Moises wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Moises at 55% vs Holobaugh at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Moises's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Holobaugh has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MoisesHolobaugh
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Moises
Holobaugh
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
70"
31+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Moises
Holobaugh
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.7
32.1
42.7
Performance Avg
31.2
38
Quality of Victory
37
39
Momentum Score
20
Moises
Holobaugh
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
/ 10
0.4
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
4.2
5.0
Style: Volume
4.4
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
3
2
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance2
3Clinch1
21Ground1
Moises
Holobaugh
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
3
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Moises
Holobaugh
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
46
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/29 fights
Chin rating based on
9/32 fights
Moises
Holobaugh
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
20
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Moises
Holobaugh
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Moises
Holobaugh
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
MoisesHolobaugh
Strike Zones
Moises
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedHolobaugh
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Moises targets the head (89% of attacks) — Holobaugh absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Holobaugh targets the head (75% of attacks) — Moises absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Moises
RND
Holobaugh
0/0R00/0
Moises · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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