UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards
San Antonio, USA
20 Jul 2019
Women's Bantamweight
VS
48%
Pennington
52%
Aldana
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Aldana
This is a genuine toss-up — Pennington at 48% vs Aldana at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Aldana throws more volume but Pennington connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Pennington's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pennington
Aldana
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
67"
Reach
+68"
37+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pennington
Aldana
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.8
50.5
46.8
Performance Avg
46.5
32
Quality of Victory
39
80
Momentum Score
81
Pennington
Aldana
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
2.1
50%
Strike Accuracy
45%
1.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
4
2
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance6
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Pennington
Aldana
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.2
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pennington
Aldana
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
88
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R5.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/26 fights
Chin rating based on
14/23 fights
Pennington
Aldana
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
81
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
Pennington
Aldana
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
23%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
3
Submission Wins
1
10
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pennington
Aldana
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
2.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
3.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
7.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
PenningtonAldana
Strike Zones
Pennington
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedAldana
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pennington targets the head (57% of attacks) — Aldana absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Aldana targets the head (67% of attacks) — Pennington absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pennington
RND
Aldana
0/0R00/0
Pennington · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Aldana · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Pennington · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Julianna PenaRating 7Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Ketlen VieiraRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · 2023-01
W · Dec · R3
Aspen LaddRating 4.5Decision
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
W · Sub · R2
Macy ChiassonRating 6.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12
Aldana · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Norma DumontRating 6Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Karol RosaRating 5.2Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
L · Dec · R5
Amanda NunesRating 6.7Decision
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06
W · KO · R3
Macy ChiassonRating 6.8KO/TKO
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
W · KO · R1
Yana SantosRating 5.1KO/TKO
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