METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza
Las Vegas, USA
14 Oct 2023
Bantamweight
VS
50%
Rodriguez
50%
Saaiman
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Christian RodriguezwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Cameron Saaiman · UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rodriguez
→
Actual result
Rodriguez wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Rodriguez at 50% vs Saaiman at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Saaiman has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Risk flags
Saaiman has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RodriguezSaaiman
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Rodriguez
Saaiman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
71"+
Reach
67"
28
Age
+25
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Rodriguez
Saaiman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.0
54.3
44.8
Performance Avg
47.0
35
Quality of Victory
45
90
Momentum Score
75
Rodriguez
Saaiman
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
7.7
/ 10
4.1
Style: Pressure
6.2
6.5
Style: Volume
3.7
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
33
Head
22
8
Body
6
1
Leg
10
RangeRange
35Distance34
7Clinch4
0Ground0
Rodriguez
Saaiman
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rodriguez
Saaiman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
54
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/16 fights
Chin rating based on
6/12 fights
Rodriguez
Saaiman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
90
75
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Rodriguez
Saaiman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rodriguez
Saaiman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.7
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
RodriguezSaaiman
Strike Zones
Rodriguez
Attacking
42 landedAbsorbing
38 absorbedSaaiman
Attacking
38 landedAbsorbing
42 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (79% of attacks) — Saaiman absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Saaiman targets the head (58% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rodriguez
RND
Saaiman
0/0R00/0
Rodriguez · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Hyder AmilSubmission
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L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliDecision
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L · Dec · R3
Melquizael CostaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Austin BashiDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Sub · R1
Julian ErosaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
Saaiman · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Malcolm WellmakerKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · KO · R2
Payton TalbottKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Christian RodriguezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
W · KO · R1
Terrence MitchellKO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
Mana MartinezDecision
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03