UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza
Las Vegas, USA
14 Oct 2023
Bantamweight
VS
46%
Rodriguez
54%
Saaiman
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Saaiman
This is a genuine toss-up — Rodriguez at 46% vs Saaiman at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Saaiman has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Striking split: Saaiman throws more volume but Rodriguez connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Saaiman has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Rodriguez
Saaiman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
71"+
Reach
67"
28
Age
+25
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Rodriguez
Saaiman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.2
54.3
40.7
Performance Avg
47.0
31
Quality of Victory
45
64
Momentum Score
75
Rodriguez
Saaiman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
2.5
51%
Strike Accuracy
51%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
33
Head
22
8
Body
6
1
Leg
10
RangeRange
35Distance34
7Clinch4
0Ground0
Rodriguez
Saaiman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.8
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.8
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rodriguez
Saaiman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
54
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/16 fights
Chin rating based on
6/12 fights
Rodriguez
Saaiman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
75
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Rodriguez
Saaiman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rodriguez
Saaiman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.7
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
7.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
RodriguezSaaiman
Strike Zones
Rodriguez
Attacking
42 landedAbsorbing
38 absorbedSaaiman
Attacking
38 landedAbsorbing
42 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (79% of attacks) — Saaiman absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Saaiman targets the head (58% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rodriguez
RND
Saaiman
0/0R00/0
Rodriguez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Saaiman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Rodriguez · Last 5
Upcoming
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Saaiman · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Malcolm WellmakerRating 2.9KO/TKO
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L · KO · R2
Payton TalbottRating 4.3KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Christian RodriguezRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
W · KO · R1
Terrence MitchellRating 5KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Mana MartinezRating 4.5Decision
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