UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez
Phoenix, USA
17 Feb 2019
Heavyweight
VS
63%
Ngannou
37%
Velasquez
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:26
FN
Francis Ngannou
"The Predator"
17 – 3
6'4"83" reachOrthodox39 yrs6-fight win streakKnockout Artist
CFR 43
CV
Cain Velasquez
14 – 3
Knockout Artist43 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'1"
CFR 26

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Ngannou

Ngannou holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Velasquez has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Velasquez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Velasquez has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Ngannou
Velasquez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'1"
83"+
Reach
77"
39+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ngannou
Velasquez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.0
25.8
70.4
Performance Avg
69.4
60
Quality of Victory
62
100
Momentum Score
100
Ngannou
Velasquez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
2.6
46%
Strike Accuracy
59%
9.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.9
9 KOs
KO Finishes
10 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
0
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance1
1Clinch0
2Ground0
Ngannou
Velasquez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.4
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ngannou
Velasquez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
44
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/20 fights
Chin rating based on
15/17 fights
Ngannou
Velasquez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
6-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R5
W · KO · R1
Ngannou
Velasquez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
83%
9
KO / TKO Wins
10
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ngannou
Velasquez
Striking9.2 / 9.9Volume2.4 / 2.9Grappling0.9 / 0.4Wrestling0.6 / 0.3Submission0.8 / 0.0Pressure8.4 / 8.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.9
0.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.4
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
2.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
Ngannou
Strike Zones
Velasquez
Ngannou
Attacking
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Velasquez
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ngannou targets the head (100% of attacks) — Velasquez absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Velasquez targets the body (100% of attacks) — Ngannou absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ngannou
RND
Velasquez
0/0R00/0

Ngannou · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0105.2W5.2W5.0W5.0W5.7W5.0W6.6L6.7L5.9W5.0W5.0W6.1W6.2W6.2W2015-122017-012018-112021-032022-01
WinLossTrend

Velasquez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.0W5.0W5.2W4.5W5.2W5.0W5.0W1.5L5.0W4.5W5.0W5.5W2.8L5.0W1.9L2008-042009-102012-052015-062019-02
WinLossTrend

Ngannou · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Ciryl GaneRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane · 2022-01
W · KO · R2
Stipe MiocicRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
W · KO · R1
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
W · KO · R1
Junior Dos SantosRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · KO · R1
Cain VelasquezRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02

Velasquez · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Francis NgannouRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · KO · R1
Travis BrowneRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
L · Sub · R3
Fabricio WerdumRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
W · KO · R5
Junior Dos SantosRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3 · 2013-10
W · KO · R1
Antonio SilvaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2 · 2013-05

News & Media

Francis Ngannou · Cain Velasquez
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