UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le
Macau, China
10 Nov 2012
Bantamweight
VS
94%
Caceres
6%
Tezuka
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Caceres
Caceres is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Caceres has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 34 points.
Caceres has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Caceres's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Caceres
Tezuka
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'7"
73"
Reach
37+
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Caceres
Tezuka
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.7
2.7
42.2
Performance Avg
0.0
34
Quality of Victory
0
76
Momentum Score
0
Caceres
Tezuka
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
0.4
50%
Strike Accuracy
17%
1.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
5
5
Body
1
4
Leg
4
RangeRange
28Distance10
3Clinch0
0Ground0
Caceres
Tezuka
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Caceres
Tezuka
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/36 fights
Chin rating based on
2/40 fights
Caceres
Tezuka
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
76
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Caceres
Tezuka
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
31%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
11
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Caceres
Tezuka
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
CaceresTezuka
Strike Zones
Caceres
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTezuka
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Caceres targets the head (71% of attacks) — Tezuka absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Tezuka targets the head (50% of attacks) — Caceres absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Caceres
RND
Tezuka
0/0R00/0
Caceres · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Tezuka · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Caceres · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sean WoodsonRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Giga ChikadzeRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
W · Dec · R3
Daniel PinedaRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
W · KO · R1
Julian ErosaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12
L · Dec · R3
Sodiq YusuffRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
Tezuka · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Vaughan LeeRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02
L · Dec · R3
Alex CaceresRating 5.7Decision
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le · 2012-11