UFC 29: Defense of the Belts
Tokyo, Japan
16 Dec 2000
Middleweight
VS
51%
Tanner
49%
Gibson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:58
ET
Evan Tanner
32 – 8
6'0"74" reachOrthodox55 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 22
LG
Lance Gibson
"Fearless"
4 – 5
Knockout Artist55 yrsOrthodox5'9"
CFR 21

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Tanner

This is a genuine toss-up — Tanner at 51% vs Gibson at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Tanner throws more volume but Gibson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Tanner's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Tanner
Gibson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'9"
74"
Reach
55
Age
55
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Tanner
Gibson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.9
21.0
57.1
Performance Avg
50.0
52
Quality of Victory
50
93
Momentum Score
71
Tanner
Gibson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
0.9
64%
Strike Accuracy
77%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
6
11
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
5Clinch4
25Ground1
Tanner
Gibson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.6
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Tanner
Gibson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
78
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/40 fights
Chin rating based on
2/9 fights
Tanner
Gibson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
93
71
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · R2
L · R4
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Tanner
Gibson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
73%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Tanner
Gibson
Striking4.9 / 10.0Volume2.8 / 1.0Grappling3.4 / 0.0Wrestling2.3 / 0.0Submission3.6 / 0.0Pressure7.0 / 8.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
Tanner
Strike Zones
Gibson
Tanner
Attacking
19HEAD11BODY2LEGS32 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Gibson
Attacking
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD11BODY2LEGS32 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Tanner targets the head (59% of attacks) — Gibson absorbs 59% of strikes there
🎯Gibson targets the head (100% of attacks) — Tanner absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Tanner
RND
Gibson
0/0R00/0

Tanner · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.0W5.0W5.0W1.5L5.2W4.0W4.5W1.5L5.0W4.5W5.3W5.0W5.1L4.8L5.0W2.8L5.5L1999-012002-032004-102008-032008-06
WinLossTrend

Gibson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.5
0105.5W1.5L2000-032000-12
WinLossTrend

Tanner · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Kendall GroveRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale · 2008-06
L · KO · R2
Yushin OkamiRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 82: Pride of a Champion · 2008-03
W · Sub · R1
Justin LevensRating 5
Submission
UFC 59: Reality Check · 2006-04
L · R2
David LoiseauRating 4.8
UFC Fight Night 2 · 2005-10
L · R4
Rich FranklinRating 5.1
UFC 53: Heavy Hitters · 2005-06

Gibson · Last 2

L · KO · R1
Evan TannerRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 29: Defense of the Belts · 2000-12
W · KO · R3
Jermaine AndreRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 24: First Defense · 2000-03

News & Media

Evan Tanner · Lance Gibson
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