UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes
Las Vegas, USA
22 Apr 2023
Women's Featherweight
VS
52%
Rosa
48%
Dumont
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Karol
Karol Rosa
19 – 7
5'5"67" reachOrthodox31 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 49
Norma
Norma Dumont
"The Immortal"
13 – 3
Well-Rounded35 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'7"
CFR 45

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Rosa

This is a genuine toss-up — Rosa at 52% vs Dumont at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Rosa has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Rosa
Dumont
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'7"
67"
Reach
67"
31+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rosa
Dumont
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.8
45.3
41.7
Performance Avg
48.0
25
Quality of Victory
30
80
Momentum Score
50
Rosa
Dumont
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.3
57%
Strike Accuracy
56%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
6
2
Body
3
4
Leg
4
RangeRange
10Distance11
8Clinch2
0Ground0
Rosa
Dumont
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rosa
Dumont
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
11 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/26 fights
Chin rating based on
12/16 fights
Rosa
Dumont
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
50
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Rosa
Dumont
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
9

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rosa
Dumont
Striking1.3 / 1.5Volume9.3 / 9.5Grappling2.4 / 2.4Wrestling1.7 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure2.0 / 2.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.3
9.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.5
Rosa
Strike Zones
Dumont
Rosa
Attacking
12HEAD2BODY4LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD3BODY4LEGS13 absorbed
Dumont
Attacking
6HEAD3BODY4LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD2BODY4LEGS18 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rosa targets the head (67% of attacks) — Dumont absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Dumont targets the head (46% of attacks) — Rosa absorbs 46% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rosa
RND
Dumont
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Rosa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W4.5W5.9W4.5W5.5L4.5W6.0L4.6W6.3L4.5W6.5L5.2W2019-082021-102023-042024-082025-08
WinLossTrend

Dumont · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0101.5L4.5W4.8W4.5W6.8L4.5W5.2W5.0W5.7W5.3W4.9W6.9L2020-022021-102023-042024-092026-04
WinLossTrend

Rosa · Last 5

Upcoming
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Ailin PerezRating 6.5
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UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Pannie KianzadRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Irene AldanaRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12

Dumont · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Joselyne EdwardsRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Ketlen VieiraRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Irene AldanaRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Germaine de RandamieRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
W · Dec · R3
Chelsea ChandlerRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07

News & Media

Karol Rosa · Norma Dumont
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