METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje
Glendale, USA
14 Apr 2018
Middleweight
VS
39%
Jotko
61%
Tavares
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:16
★ Official Result
Brad TavareswinsKO/TKOR3 · 2:16
def. Krzysztof Jotko · UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Tavares
→
Actual result
Tavares wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Tavares holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Jotko has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Tavares has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Jotko's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Tavares has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JotkoTavares
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jotko
Tavares
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
77"+
Reach
74"
36+
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Jotko
Tavares
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.7
35.6
42.8
Performance Avg
40.1
28
Quality of Victory
29
60
Momentum Score
49
Jotko
Tavares
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
1.1
38%
Strike Accuracy
45%
2.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
13
0
Body
1
0
Leg
6
RangeRange
5Distance11
0Clinch3
0Ground6
Jotko
Tavares
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.0
2.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.1
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Jotko
Tavares
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
6
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/30 fights
Chin rating based on
29/34 fights
Jotko
Tavares
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
49
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Jotko
Tavares
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
9%
13%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
14
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jotko
Tavares
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.4
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.6
8.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.1
JotkoTavares
Strike Zones
Jotko
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTavares
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jotko targets the head (100% of attacks) — Tavares absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Tavares targets the head (65% of attacks) — Jotko absorbs 65% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jotko
RND
Tavares
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Jotko · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Tavares · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Jotko · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Brendan AllenRating 2.8Submission
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W · Dec · R3
Gerald MeerschaertRating 5.6Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Sean StricklandRating 6.6Decision
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W · Dec · R3
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UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
Tavares · Last 5
Upcoming
Marc-Andre BarriaultUFC Fight Night · 2026-07
L · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · KO · R3
Robert BryczekRating 4.9KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Gerald MeerschaertRating 5.6Decision
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L · Dec · R3
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