METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje
Glendale, USA
14 Apr 2018
Middleweight
VS
39%
Jotko
61%
Tavares
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:16
★ Official Result
Brad TavareswinsKO/TKOR3 · 2:16
def. Krzysztof Jotko · UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Tavares
→
Actual result
Tavares wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Tavares holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Jotko has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Jotko's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Tavares has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JotkoTavares
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jotko
Tavares
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
77"+
Reach
74"
37+
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Jotko
Tavares
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.7
35.6
42.8
Performance Avg
40.1
28
Quality of Victory
29
60
Momentum Score
49
Jotko
Tavares
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.6
Style: Pressure
2.6
8.6
Style: Volume
8.1
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
13
0
Body
1
0
Leg
6
RangeRange
5Distance11
0Clinch3
0Ground6
Jotko
Tavares
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.5
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jotko
Tavares
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
6
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/30 fights
Chin rating based on
28/34 fights
Jotko
Tavares
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
49
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Jotko
Tavares
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
9%
13%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
14
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jotko
Tavares
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.4
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.6
8.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.1
JotkoTavares
Strike Zones
Jotko
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTavares
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jotko targets the head (100% of attacks) — Tavares absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Tavares targets the head (65% of attacks) — Jotko absorbs 65% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jotko
RND
Tavares
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Jotko · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Brendan AllenSubmission
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