UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi
Jaragua do Sul, Brazil
15 Feb 2014
Bantamweight
VS
52%
Alcantara
48%
Reis
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
IA
Iuri Alcantara
"Marajo"
3510
5'9"71" reachSouthpaw45 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 17
WR
Wilson Reis
2310
Well-Rounded41 yrsSouthpaw65" reach5'4"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Alcantara

This is a genuine toss-up — Alcantara at 52% vs Reis at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Alcantara has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Alcantara's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Reis has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Alcantara
Reis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'4"
71"+
Reach
65"
45
Age
+41
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Alcantara
Reis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.9
15.5
48.0
Performance Avg
41.5
41
Quality of Victory
33
49
Momentum Score
65
Alcantara
Reis
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.7
46%
Strike Accuracy
33%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
2
0
Body
0
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
6Distance2
2Clinch0
5Ground2
Alcantara
Reis
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.0
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Alcantara
Reis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
38
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
18/45 fights
Chin rating based on
13/33 fights
Alcantara
Reis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
65
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Alcantara
Reis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
29%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Alcantara
Reis
Striking4.2 / 1.1Volume5.2 / 6.8Grappling2.8 / 4.0Wrestling2.0 / 2.8Submission2.0 / 2.9Pressure5.3 / 3.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
Alcantara
Strike Zones
Reis
Alcantara
Attacking
11HEAD0BODY2LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY2LEGS4 absorbed
Reis
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY2LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD0BODY2LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Alcantara targets the head (85% of attacks) — Reis absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Reis targets the head (50% of attacks) — Alcantara absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Alcantara
RND
Reis
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Alcantara · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5W4.5W5.5L5.0W5.5L4.5W5.0W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.0W5.2W1.8L5.5L5.0W4.2L2011-082014-022016-012018-022018-08
WinLossTrend

Reis · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W5.5L4.5W5.0W5.5L4.5W5.0W4.5W2.8L4.2L5.5L4.5W2.8L2013-092015-052017-042019-04
WinLossTrend

Alcantara · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Cory SandhagenRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · KO · R1
Joe SotoRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
L · Dec · R3
Alejandro PerezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12
L · Sub · R1
Brian KelleherRating 1.8
Submission
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
W · Sub · R2
Luke SandersRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03

Reis · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Alexandre PantojaRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 · 2019-04
W · Dec · R3
Ben NguyenRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
John MoragaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
L · KO · R2
Henry CejudoRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
L · Sub · R3
Demetrious JohnsonRating 2.8
Submission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · 2017-04

News & Media

Iuri Alcantara · Wilson Reis
← Back to fights