METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi
Jaragua do Sul, Brazil
15 Feb 2014
Bantamweight
VS
52%
Alcantara
48%
Reis
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Iuri AlcantarawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Wilson Reis · UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Alcantara
→
Actual result
Alcantara wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Alcantara at 52% vs Reis at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Alcantara's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Reis has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AlcantaraReis
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Alcantara
Reis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'4"
71"+
Reach
65"
46
Age
+41
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Alcantara
Reis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.9
15.5
48.0
Performance Avg
41.5
41
Quality of Victory
33
49
Momentum Score
65
Alcantara
Reis
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
1.1
/ 10
5.3
Style: Pressure
3.6
5.2
Style: Volume
6.8
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
2
0
Body
0
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
6Distance2
2Clinch0
5Ground2
Alcantara
Reis
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.8
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.8
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.9
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Alcantara
Reis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
38
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/45 fights
Chin rating based on
13/33 fights
Alcantara
Reis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
65
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Alcantara
Reis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
29%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Alcantara
Reis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
AlcantaraReis
Strike Zones
Alcantara
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedReis
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Alcantara targets the head (85% of attacks) — Reis absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Reis targets the head (50% of attacks) — Alcantara absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Alcantara
RND
Reis
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Alcantara · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Cory SandhagenKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · KO · R1
Joe SotoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
L · Dec · R3
Alejandro PerezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12
L · Sub · R1
Brian KelleherSubmission
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
W · Sub · R2
Luke SandersSubmission
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
Reis · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Alexandre PantojaKO/TKO
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 · 2019-04
W · Dec · R3
Ben NguyenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
John MoragaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
L · KO · R2
Henry CejudoKO/TKO
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
L · Sub · R3
Demetrious JohnsonSubmission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · 2017-04