METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi
Jaragua do Sul, Brazil
15 Feb 2014
Bantamweight
VS
52%
Alcantara
48%
Reis
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Iuri AlcantarawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Wilson Reis · UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Alcantara
→
Actual result
Alcantara wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Alcantara at 52% vs Reis at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Alcantara has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Alcantara's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Reis has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AlcantaraReis
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Alcantara
Reis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'4"
71"+
Reach
65"
45
Age
+41
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Alcantara
Reis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.9
15.5
48.0
Performance Avg
41.5
41
Quality of Victory
33
49
Momentum Score
65
Alcantara
Reis
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
0.7
46%
Strike Accuracy
33%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
2
0
Body
0
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
6Distance2
2Clinch0
5Ground2
Alcantara
Reis
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.0
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Alcantara
Reis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
38
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/45 fights
Chin rating based on
13/33 fights
Alcantara
Reis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
65
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Alcantara
Reis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
29%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Alcantara
Reis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
AlcantaraReis
Strike Zones
Alcantara
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedReis
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Alcantara targets the head (85% of attacks) — Reis absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Reis targets the head (50% of attacks) — Alcantara absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Alcantara
RND
Reis
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Alcantara · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Reis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Alcantara · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Cory SandhagenRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · KO · R1
Joe SotoRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
L · Dec · R3
Alejandro PerezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12
L · Sub · R1
Brian KelleherRating 1.8Submission
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
W · Sub · R2
Luke SandersRating 5.2Submission
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
Reis · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Alexandre PantojaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 · 2019-04
W · Dec · R3
Ben NguyenRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
John MoragaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
L · KO · R2
Henry CejudoRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
L · Sub · R3
Demetrious JohnsonRating 2.8Submission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · 2017-04