METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac
Las Vegas, USA
4 Feb 2023
Featherweight
VS
66%
Choi
34%
Nelson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CFR 70
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Choi
Choi holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Nelson has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 34 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Choi has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Risk flags
Choi's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Nelson has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
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Choi
Nelson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
+71"
35
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Choi
Nelson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
70.4
36.8
60.7
Performance Avg
41.6
57
Quality of Victory
39
100
Momentum Score
36
Choi
Nelson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
10.0
/ 10
4.9
/ 10
9.0
Style: Pressure
4.2
1.3
Style: Volume
5.7
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
21
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance2
1Clinch1
21Ground0
Choi
Nelson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Choi
Nelson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/21 fights
Chin rating based on
12/24 fights
Choi
Nelson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
36
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
Upcoming
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Choi
Nelson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
40%
6
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Choi
Nelson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
9.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
1.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
ChoiNelson
Strike Zones
Choi
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedNelson
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Choi targets the body (91% of attacks) — Nelson absorbs 91% of strikes there
🎯Nelson targets the body (67% of attacks) — Choi absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Choi
RND
Nelson
0/0R00/0
Choi · Last 5
Upcoming
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Nelson · Last 5
L · KO · R1
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